A consulting firm submitted a bid for a large research project. The firm’s management initially felt they had a 50-50 chance of getting the project. However, the agency to which the bid was submitted subsequently requested additional information on the bid. Past experience indicates that for 75 percent of successful bids and 40 percent of unsuccessful bids, the agency requested additional information   A.    What is the prior probability of the bid being successful    B.    What is the conditional probability of a request for additional information given that the bid will ultimately be successful    C.  Compute the posterior probability that the bid will be successful given a request for additional information

Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition 2012
1st Edition
ISBN:9780547587776
Author:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Publisher:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Chapter11: Data Analysis And Probability
Section11.8: Probabilities Of Disjoint And Overlapping Events
Problem 2C
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A consulting firm submitted a bid for a large research project. The firm’s management initially felt they had a 50-50 chance of getting the project. However, the agency to which the bid was submitted subsequently requested additional information on the bid. Past experience indicates that for 75 percent of successful bids and 40 percent of unsuccessful bids, the agency requested additional information

 

A.    What is the prior probability of the bid being successful 

 

B.    What is the conditional probability of a request for additional information given that the bid will ultimately be successful 

 

C.  Compute the posterior probability that the bid will be successful given a request for additional information 

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