A media personality argues that global temperatures are not rising, because every year an increase is reported such as 0.08 degrees C. The difference from the previous year is less than the margin of error of about 0.15 degrees C, so that difference should be ignored. What is a strong counterargument? Even 0.08 degrees is a lot and thus should be considered. The margin of error is just extra information and thus can be ignored. The difference with any previous decade is much greater than the margin of error. 0.15 - 0.08 is 0.07, which is still an increase and thus should be considered.

Question

A media personality argues that global temperatures are not rising, because every year an increase is reported such as 0.08 degrees C. The difference from the previous year is less than the margin of error of about 0.15 degrees C, so that difference should be ignored. What is a strong counterargument?

Even 0.08 degrees is a lot and thus should be considered.

The margin of error is just extra information and thus can be ignored.

The difference with any previous decade is much greater than the margin of error.

0.15 - 0.08 is 0.07, which is still an increase and thus should be considered.

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