A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN: 9780134753119
Author: Sheldon Ross
Publisher: PEARSON
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An insurance company knows that the average cost to build a home in a new California subdivision is ​$97,656 and that in any particular year there is a 1 in 51 chance of a wildfire destroying all the homes in the subdivision. Based on these data and assuming the insurance company wants a positive expected value when it sells​ policies, what is the minimum the company must charge for fire insurance policies in this​ subdivision?

A) The company must charge ​$97,656 per year because the whole house will be destroyed in the event of a wildfire.
B) The company must charge ​$1915 per year because the​ company's formula for yearly fees is the average cost divided by the chance of a wildfire.
C) The company must charge ​$51 per year because there is a 1 in 51 chance of a wildfire each year.
D) The company must charge ​$1915 per year because this is the expected value.
E) The company must charge ​$51 per year because this is the expected value.
F) The company must charge ​$97,656 per year because this is the expected value.
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