Applying the decision tree algorithm, determine and advice Koki Nkoana on the best decision to make?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 32P
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c) Koki Nkoana is a writer of romance novels. A movie company and a TV network both want
exclusive rights to one of her more popular works. If she signs with the network, she will
receive a single lump sum, but if she signs with the movie company, the amount she will
receive depends on the market response to her movie. Table 3 presents the payoff matrix
(in '000) for Jenny Lind.
Table 3: Profit matrix
States of Nature
Small Box
Medium Box
Large Box
Decisions
Office
Office
Office
Sign with Movie
Company
R200
R1000
3000
Sign with TV
Network
R900
R900
R900
Prior Probabilities
0.3
0.6
0.1
Applying the decision tree algorithm, determine and advice Koki Nkoana on the best
decision to make?
Transcribed Image Text:c) Koki Nkoana is a writer of romance novels. A movie company and a TV network both want exclusive rights to one of her more popular works. If she signs with the network, she will receive a single lump sum, but if she signs with the movie company, the amount she will receive depends on the market response to her movie. Table 3 presents the payoff matrix (in '000) for Jenny Lind. Table 3: Profit matrix States of Nature Small Box Medium Box Large Box Decisions Office Office Office Sign with Movie Company R200 R1000 3000 Sign with TV Network R900 R900 R900 Prior Probabilities 0.3 0.6 0.1 Applying the decision tree algorithm, determine and advice Koki Nkoana on the best decision to make?
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