Consider the network described in the table below.   Activity Immediate Predecessor(s) Pessimistic Probable Optimistic J -- 15 10 8 K -- 9 8 7 L J 10 6 5 M J 3 3 3 N K, M 9 5 1 O K, M 10 7 4 P L, N 10 8 3   Draw the network diagram and answer the following questions.   (a) Calculate the expected duration of each activity. (b) Calculate the expected duration and variance of the critical path. (c) Calculate the probability that the project will be completed in fewer than 30 time units.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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  1. Consider the network described in the table below.

 

Activity

Immediate

Predecessor(s)

Pessimistic

Probable

Optimistic

J

--

15

10

8

K

--

9

8

7

L

J

10

6

5

M

J

3

3

3

N

K, M

9

5

1

O

K, M

10

7

4

P

L, N

10

8

3

 

Draw the network diagram and answer the following questions.

 

(a) Calculate the expected duration of each activity.

(b) Calculate the expected duration and variance of the critical path.

(c) Calculate the probability that the project will be completed in fewer than 30 time units.

Task

Early Start

Early Finish

Late

Start

Late Finish

Slack

Mean

Variance

J

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

K

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

L

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

M

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

N

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

O

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

P

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Project

 

 

 

 

Project

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Std.dev

 

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