Suppose we know 20% of the population has disease A, and the accuracy rate of diagnostic test for disease A is 90%, that is 90% of those who have disease A will receive a positive test result. We also know that 95% of the individuals without disease A will receive an accurate negative result. Given that Simon receives a negative result for disease A, what is the probability that he has the disease A?

Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition 2012
1st Edition
ISBN:9780547587776
Author:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Publisher:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Chapter11: Data Analysis And Probability
Section11.8: Probabilities Of Disjoint And Overlapping Events
Problem 2C
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Suppose we know 20% of the population has disease A, and the accuracy rate of diagnostic test for disease A is 90%, that is 90% of those who have disease A will receive a positive test result. We also know that 95% of the individuals without disease A will receive an accurate negative result.

Given that Simon receives a negative result for disease A, what is the probability that he has the disease A?

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