Spreadsheet Modeling & Decision Analysis: A Practical Introduction to Business Analytics (MindTap Course List)
8th Edition
ISBN: 9781305947412
Author: Cliff Ragsdale
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 1, Problem 26QP
Summary Introduction
To explain: The justification for the given information.
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Imagine that you have the following pair of concurrent decisions. First examine both decisions, then indicate the options you prefer.
Decision 1: Choose betweenA a sure loss of 1500B a 75% to lose £2000 and 25% chance to lose nothing
Decision 2: Choose betweenC a sure gain of £480D a 25% chance to gain £2000 and 75% chance to gain nothing
How do you think respondents in a laboratory experiment would decide in Decision 1 and Decision 2?
most participants will choose 1B and 2C
most participants will choose 1A
most participants will choose 1B and 2D
most participants will choose 1A and 2D
2)
Which of the following can explain the behavior in the lab for decision 1?
preference for certainty
underestimation of large probabilities
individuals are risk loving in the loss domain
overweighting of small probabilities
concavity of the value function in the gain domain 2. individuals are risk loving in the loss domain
Consider a firm run by an “incumbent” manager. Suppose the incumbent manager has the opportunity to invest in one of two different projects, Project 1 or Project 2. The incumbent manager has a higher ability in managing Project 1 rather than Project 2. Also, if theincumbent is fired by shareholders, she is replaced by an “alternative” manager whose ability to manage Project 1 is lower than the incumbent’s ability. Suppose the investment in a project is irreversible, and the shareholders’ choice of the incumbent manager salary (as well as their decision on whether to fire her) is taken afterthe investment is made. Also, assume the incumbent manager has a stake in the firm she runs, but she does not fully control it.
Questions:(a) Suppose none of the projects gives the manager a direct utility. According to Shleifer and Vishny (1989), which of the two projects should the incumbent manager choose? What is the economic rationale behind this choice? Explain. (b) Suppose the incumbent…
Discuss the differences between decision making under certainty, under risk, and under uncertainty.
Chapter 1 Solutions
Spreadsheet Modeling & Decision Analysis: A Practical Introduction to Business Analytics (MindTap Course List)
Ch. 1 - Prob. 1QPCh. 1 - Prob. 2QPCh. 1 - Prob. 3QPCh. 1 - Prob. 4QPCh. 1 - What is the relationship between business...Ch. 1 - What kinds of spreadsheet applications would not...Ch. 1 - Prob. 7QPCh. 1 - Prob. 8QPCh. 1 - What is a dependent variable?Ch. 1 - What is an independent variable?
Ch. 1 - Can a model have more than one dependent variable?Ch. 1 - Can a decision problem have more than one...Ch. 1 - Prob. 13QPCh. 1 - Prob. 14QPCh. 1 - In what ways are descriptive models different from...Ch. 1 - Prob. 16QPCh. 1 - Prob. 17QPCh. 1 - Consider the spreadsheet model shown in Figure...Ch. 1 - Prob. 19QPCh. 1 - Prob. 20QPCh. 1 - Prob. 21QPCh. 1 - Prob. 22QPCh. 1 - Prob. 23QPCh. 1 - Prob. 24QPCh. 1 - Prob. 25QPCh. 1 - Prob. 26QPCh. 1 - Prob. 27QP
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