A Concise Intro To Logic
A Concise Intro To Logic
12th Edition
ISBN: 9781305147775
Author: Hurley
Publisher: Cengage
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Suppose on a road trip to Texas you observe that three out of every four trucks on the road are followed by a car, while only one out of every five cars is followed by a truck. What fraction of vehicles on the road are trucks?
The Decision Sciences Department is tyring to determine whether to rent a slow or fast copier. The department believes that an employee's time is worth $15/hour. The slow copier rents for $4/hr, and it takes an employee an average of 10 minutes to complete copying. The fast copier rents for $15/hr, and it takes an employee an average of 6 minutes to complete copying. On average, four employees per hour need to use the copying machine. (Assume the copying times and interarrival times to the copying machine are exponentially distributed.) Which machine should the department rent to minimize expected total cost per hour? Please note this class revolves around Microsoft Excel so the answer I need needs to show the formulas in Excel, along with any corresponding graphs, etc. Thank you in advance!
Consider the interval of random numbers presented below. The following random numbers have been generated: 99, 98, 26, 09, 49, 52, 33, 89, 21, 37. Simulate 10 hours of arrivals at this gas station. What is the average number of arrivals during this period?
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  • In this version of dice blackjack, you toss a single die repeatedly and add up the sum of your dice tosses. Your goal is to come as close as possible to a total of 7 without going over. You may stop at any time. If your total is 8 or more, you lose. If your total is 7 or less, the house then tosses the die repeatedly. The house stops as soon as its total is 4 or more. If the house totals 8 or more, you win. Otherwise, the higher total wins. If there is a tie, the house wins. Consider the following strategies: Keep tossing until your total is 3 or more. Keep tossing until your total is 4 or more. Keep tossing until your total is 5 or more. Keep tossing until your total is 6 or more. Keep tossing until your total is 7 or more. For example, suppose you keep tossing until your total is 4 or more. Here are some examples of how the game might go: You toss a 2 and then a 3 and stop for total of 5. The house tosses a 3 and then a 2. You lose because a tie goes to the house. You toss a 3 and then a 6. You lose. You toss a 6 and stop. The house tosses a 3 and then a 2. You win. You toss a 3 and then a 4 for total of 7. The house tosses a 3 and then a 5. You win. Note that only 4 tosses need to be generated for the house, but more tosses might need to be generated for you, depending on your strategy. Develop a simulation and run it for at least 1000 iterations for each of the strategies listed previously. For each strategy, what are the two values so that you are 95% sure that your probability of winning is between these two values? Which of the five strategies appears to be best?
    Consider the following card game. The player and dealer each receive a card from a 52-card deck. At the end of the game the player with the highest card wins; a tie goes to the dealer. (You can assume that Aces count 1, Jacks 11, Queens 12, and Kings 13.) After the player receives his card, he keeps the card if it is 7 or higher. If the player does not keep the card, the player and dealer swap cards. Then the dealer keeps his current card (which might be the players original card) if it is 9 or higher. If the dealer does not keep his card, he draws another card. Use simulation with at least 1000 iterations to estimate the probability that the player wins. (Hint: See the file Sampling Without Replacement.xlsx, one of the example files, to see a clever way of simulating cards from a deck so that the Same card is never dealt more than once.)
    The Decision Sciences Department is trying todetermine whether to rent a slow or a fast copier. Thedepartment believes that an employee’s time is worth$15 per hour. The slow copier rents for $4 per hour,and it takes an employee an average of 10 minutes tocomplete copying. The fast copier rents for $15 per hour,and it takes an employee an average of six minutes tocomplete copying. On average, four employees per hourneed to use the copying machine. (Assume the copyingtimes and interarrival times to the copying machineare exponentially distributed.) Which machine shouldthe department rent to minimize expected total cost perhour?
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