Practical Operations Management
Practical Operations Management
2nd Edition
ISBN: 9781939297136
Author: Simpson
Publisher: HERCHER PUBLISHING,INCORPORATED
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Chapter 15, Problem 1DQ
Summary Introduction

Interpretation:

Reason for impossibility of “Black Swan Crises”.

Concept Introduction:

A crises is an after effect of some happening or event which could have been foreseen.

Black Swan events which are part of the unknown unknowns, are unexpected and it cause disruptions in the way people normally conduct business and change the way people normally behave as per “conventional wisdom”.

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Explanation of Solution

Black Swan events which are part of the unknown unknowns, are unexpected and it cause disruptions in the way people normally conduct business and change the way people normally behave as per “conventional wisdom”. These unknown unknowns can also have a positive impact such as the internet which was a disruptive innovation. These events transform the way people think and conduct their businesses.

A crises is an after effect of some happening or event which could have been foreseen. To illustrate, the financial crises of 2008 was due to housing loans going bad due to the greed of banks and loan institutions. The crises was foreseen by some eminent economists such as Dr. R. There is some time to address the issue or cause before the negative impact of the event is felt. Consequently, a crises unlike a “Black Swan” event is not totally unexpected.

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