To ascertain: The reason for expecting a fair coin to come up heads about half the time and whether to expect the fraction of heads getting closer to half when more coins are flipped along with the way law of large numbers applying to risk faced by casinos and insurance companies.
Explanation of Solution
Whenan individual tosses fair coin, the chances of getting a heador getting a tail equals to “1/2”. As the number of tosses increase, the probability of getting tails and heads starting to become same.
As the sample size increases, observation starts to scatter around the mean, which indicates that as no. of coins tossed increased the probability of getting heads moves towards “1/2”. This indicates that probability of getting heads becomes equal to tails.
Law of large numbers states that as the size of sample grows the observation start to scatter around the means.
In insurance, as the number of people with health insurance increases with a large number of policyholders, the loss of the company due to insurance claim starts to become equal to the loss which has been expected by the firm.
In the casino industry, the law large number works in the same way as in the insurance industry.As the number of players increases in the actual loss of casino, due to winning of player start to become equal to expected loss which means casinos can increase the odds of the loss of a player by introducing the new rules which increase the odds of a player to lose.
Want to see more full solutions like this?
Chapter 4 Solutions
EBK INTERMEDIATE MICROECONOMICS AND ITS
- For questions 32 - 35 consider the following "research and development" game. Firms A and B are contemplating whether or not to invest in R8D. Each has two options: "Invest" and "Abstain." A firm that invests will invent product X with a probability of 0.5, whereas a firm that abstains is incapable of invention. Investment costs $6. If a firm doesn't invent X. it makes 50 in revenue. If a firm invests and is the only one to invent X. it becomes a monopolist and generates $20 in revenue. If both firms invent X, each firm becomes a duopolist, and generates $8 in revenue. Revenues are gross figures (i.e. they are not net of investment costs), and there are no costs besides investments costs (i.e. no variable cost of production etc.). The firms are risk-neutral entities, and are uninformed of each other's investment decisions. Find the Nash Equilibrium (or Equilibria) of the "research and development" game. There are no Nash Equilibria Invest/Invest Invest/Abstain, and Abstain/Invests…arrow_forwardwhat are some real-life examples of infinte and finite games?arrow_forwardwhen playing at a casino your expected value means the amount you gain at a single play. True or Falsearrow_forward
- a) Write out the extensive form of a game between a farmer (playing in the first round) and nature (playing a mixed strategy in the second round). Assume that the farmer can either pay a cash rent of $1500 for land (English system) or 1/2 of crop production to the landlord (sharecropping). Assume the farmer is planting corn and will produce 2 tons of corn. Assume that nature has a 50% chance of playing a strategy in which the price of corn is $3500/ton and a 50% chance of playing a strategy in which the price of corn is $500/ton. The farmer keeps any money left after paying cash rent and sells any corn left after paying the landlord in sharecropping. b)What is the most that a risk neutral farmer would be willing to pay for an accurate prediction of the price of corn in problem 1 before choosing whether to pay cash rent or sharecrop?arrow_forwardConsider the following compound lottery, described in words: "The probability that the price of copper increases tomorrow is objectively determined to be 0.5. If it increases, then tomorrow I will flip a coin to determine a monetary payout that you will receive: if the flip is Heads, you win $100, while if it is Tails, you win $50. If it does not increase, then I will roll a 10-sided die (assume each side is equally likely to be rolled). If the die roll is a 4 or lower, you will win $100. If it is a 5, then you will win $200, and if it is a 6 or greater, you will win $50." Fill in the blanks below for the reduced lottery that corresponds to this compound lottery (write in decimals). R= ( , $50; , $100; , $200)arrow_forwardChoice under uncertainty. Consider a coin-toss game in which the player gets $30 if they win, and $5 if they lose. The probability of winning is 50%. (a) Alan is (just) willing to pay $15 to play this game. What is Alan’s attitude to risk? Show your work. (b) Assume a market with many identical Alans, who are all forced to pay $15 to play this coin-toss game. An insurer offers an insurance policy to protect the Alans from the risk. What would be the fair (zero profit) premium on this policy? can you help me for par (b) plase?arrow_forward
- Choice under uncertainty. Consider a coin-toss game in which the player gets $30 if they win, and $5 if they lose. The probability of winning is 50%. (a) Alan is (just) willing to pay $15 to play this game. What is Alan’s attitude to risk? Show your work.(b) Assume a market with many identical Alans, who are all forced to pay $15 to play this coin-toss game. An insurer offers an insurance policy to protect the Alans from the risk. What would be the fair (zero profit) premium on this policy? i need help with question B please.arrow_forwardIn a principal-agent problem, if the contract implies that the more risk-averse agent will bear less risk, we can say that this contract exhibits A.risk sharing is not optimal because the less risk-averse (or risk-neutral) agent should bear none of the risk. B.efficiency in risk-bearing. C.risk sharing is not optimal because risk-neutral agents should face no risk. D.risk sharing is not optimal because all risk should be transferred to the most risk-averse agent.arrow_forwardThe Tampa Tribune and the St. Petersburg Times compete for readers in the Tampa Bay market for newspapers. Recently, both newspapers considered changing the prices they charge for their Sunday editions. Suppose they considered the following payoff table for making a simultaneous decision to charge either a low price of $0.50 or a high price of $1.00. Tampa’s profits are shown in regular type. St. Petersburg’s profits are shown in bold. 7. Which cell(s) is/are strategically stable?arrow_forward
- Write out the extensive form of a game between a farmer (playing in the first round) and nature (playing a mixed strategy in the second round). Assume that the farmer can either pay a cash rent of $1500 for land (English system) or 1/2 of crop production to the landlord (sharecropping). Assume the farmer is planting corn and will produce 2 tons of corn. Assume that nature has a 50% chance of playing a strategy in which the price of corn is $3500/ton and a 50% chance of playing a strategy in which the price of corn is $500/ton. The farmer keeps any money left after paying cash rent and sells any corn left after paying the landlord in sharecropping. What is the most that a risk neutral farmer would be willing to pay for an accurate prediction of the price of corn in problem 1 before choosing whether to pay cash rent or sharecrop?arrow_forwardImagine that two firms in two different countries want to bring a new product to market. Due to economies of scale, if both firms do this, they will both lose £50 million. But if only one firm does this, it will gain £300 million. (a) What is the best strategy for firm A, if firm B has not yet entered the market, and why? (b) Illustrate this with a game theory diagram, showing appropriate payouts. (c) What is the welfare-maximising strategy for a government, and why?arrow_forward. In a gambling game, Player A and Player B both have a $1 and a $5 bill. Each player selects one of the bills without the other player knowing the bill selected. Simultaneously they both reveal the bills selected. If the bills do not match, Player A wins Player B's bill. If the bills match, Player B wins Player A's bill. a. Develop the game theory table for this game. The values should be expressed as the gains (or losses) for Player A. b. Is there a pure strategy? Why or why not? c. Determine the optimal strategies and the value of this game. Does the game favor one player over the other? d. Suppose Player B decides to deviate from the optimal strategy and begins playing each bill 50% of the time. What should Player A do to improve Player A’s winnings? Comment on why it is important to follow an optimal game theory strategy.arrow_forward
- Microeconomics: Principles & PolicyEconomicsISBN:9781337794992Author:William J. Baumol, Alan S. Blinder, John L. SolowPublisher:Cengage LearningManagerial Economics: A Problem Solving ApproachEconomicsISBN:9781337106665Author:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike ShorPublisher:Cengage LearningManagerial Economics: Applications, Strategies an...EconomicsISBN:9781305506381Author:James R. McGuigan, R. Charles Moyer, Frederick H.deB. HarrisPublisher:Cengage Learning