Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337406659
Author: WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher: Cengage,
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Concept explainers
Question
Chapter 9.5, Problem 13P
Summary Introduction
To explain: A memo about the strategy of Company A.
Introduction: Simulation model is the digital prototype of the physical model that helps to
Expert Solution & Answer
Want to see the full answer?
Check out a sample textbook solution
Students have asked these similar questions
A payoff table is given as
s1
s2
s3
d1
250
450
500
d2
300
-250
900
d3
400
500
800
In each part of your answer, show the work you relied upon to reach your answer.
What decision should be made using expected value, in which the probabilities are s1=.3, s2=.2, s3=.5?
What decision should be made by the conservative decision-maker?
What choice should be made using the Hurwicz method, in which the coefficient of optimism (or realism) is .6? (hint: ignore the middle state of nature in performing the calculation).
Use the table below to answer the questions that follow and caculate the Expected Monetary Value(EMV) of the different outcomesDECISION TABLE WITH CONDITIONAL VALUESSTATE OF NATUREFAVORABLE OUTCOME UNFAVORABLE OUTCOMEALTERNATIVES ($) ($)Start a big Company 2,000,000 -500,000Start a small company 800,000 -200,000Build Nothing 0 0Probabilities 0.3 0.7Calculate the following The EMV
Maximin criterion
Maximax criterion
Minimax criterion
Consider a public project with the cost of 500. There are three individuals with the following benefits for the public good: v1=400, v2=200 and v3=0.
Which of the following statement is false about the VCG (Vickrey-Clarke-Groves) mechanism?
None of the options
The budget deficit is 200
VCG mechanism is strategy-proof
The tax for individual 3 is equal to 0
The tax for individual 1 is equal to 300
Chapter 9 Solutions
Practical Management Science
Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 1PCh. 9.2 - Prob. 2PCh. 9.2 - Prob. 3PCh. 9.3 - Prob. 4PCh. 9.3 - Prob. 5PCh. 9.3 - Prob. 6PCh. 9.3 - Prob. 7PCh. 9.4 - Explain in some detail how the PrecisionTree...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 9PCh. 9.4 - Prob. 10P
Ch. 9.5 - Prob. 11PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 12PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 13PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 17PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 18PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 19PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 21PCh. 9.5 - The model in Example 9.3 has only two market...Ch. 9.6 - Prob. 26PCh. 9.6 - Prob. 27PCh. 9.6 - Prob. 28PCh. 9 - Prob. 30PCh. 9 - Prob. 31PCh. 9 - Prob. 32PCh. 9 - Prob. 34PCh. 9 - Prob. 36PCh. 9 - Prob. 37PCh. 9 - Prob. 38PCh. 9 - Prob. 39PCh. 9 - Prob. 46PCh. 9 - Prob. 48PCh. 9 - Prob. 53PCh. 9 - Prob. 67PCh. 9 - Prob. 68PCh. 9 - Prob. 69PCh. 9 - Prob. 70PCh. 9 - Prob. 71PCh. 9 - Prob. 72PCh. 9 - Prob. 73PCh. 9 - Prob. 74PCh. 9 - Prob. 75PCh. 9 - Prob. 76PCh. 9 - Prob. 77P
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, operations-management and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- BADLY NEED YOUR HELP PLEASE. 1.) True or false? Briefly explain. _____ Your firm has the opportunity to invest $20 million in a new project. The interest rate on the firm’s debt is 7% and the cost of equity is 14%. The cost of capital for the project depends on whether the firm finances the project with new debt or new equity. _____ You are thinking about investing in either stock A or stock B. Both stocks have an expected return of 12%, but stock A has a standard deviation of 25% annually and stock B has a standard deviation of 35% annually. You should invest in stock A since it is less risky. _____ Your firm currently has a debt-to-equity ratio of 10%: debt = $50 million and equity = $500 million (market values). The interest rate on the firm’s debt (rD) is 8% and the cost of equity (rE) is 13%. Since the cost of debt rD is lower than the cost of equity rE, the firm can lower its overall cost of capital by borrowing more. Ignore taxes.arrow_forwardIn Example 9.2, the fixed costs are split $4 million for development and $2 million for marketing. Perform a sensitivity analysis where the sum of these two fixed costs remains at $6 million but the split changes. Specifically, let the fixed cost of development vary from $1 million to $5 million in increments of$0.5 million. Does Acme’s best strategy change in this range? Use either a data table or PrecisionTree’s Sensitivity Analysis tools to answer this question.arrow_forwardThe Sloan Corporation is trying to choose between the following two mutually exclusive design projects. If the required return is 10 percent, what is the profitability index for each project? What is the NPV for each project? Complete the following analysis. Do not hard code values in your calculations. You must use the built-in excel function to answer this question. Annual Cash Flows I II 0 $ (51,000.00) $ (14,000.00) 1 $ 24,800.00 $ 7,800.00 2 $ 24,800.00 $ 7,800.00 3 $ 24,800.00 $ 7,800.00 Required Return 10% Profitability index (I)_________________ Profitability index(II)_________________ NPV (I) ______________ NPV (II) ______________arrow_forward
- You have an idea for a new web service that offers customized workouts for subscribers. Build a spreadsheet to calculate 1) the number of new customers each month and 2) the total customer base (cumulative number of customers signed up) each month. Mimic what we did in the class to project the subscription volumes for 60 months under the following sets of assumptions. a)Total market potential is 1,000,000 customers. Each month, you sign up 2% of customers in the market that have not yet signed up. b)Total market potential is initially 1,000,000 customers, but grows at 1% per month. Each month, you sign up 2% of customers in the market that have not yet signed up. Use the graph wizard to make a graph comparing total customer base under each of the two scenarios. Which type of graph is appropriate?arrow_forwardIf you want to invest in a project that cost $3.5 million. As we are unsure about the future demand, there is a 40% probability of high demand with a present value for the project $3 million. There is a 25% probability of moderate demand with a present value of $2.5 million. In addition, there is a 35% probability of low demand with a present value is $1.5 million. Draw a decision tree for this problem. What is the expected net present value of the business? Should you invest? Explain. Assume that you can expand the project by investing another $0.6 million after you learn the true future demand state. This would make the present value of the business $3.9 million in the high‐demand state, $3.5 million in the moderate demand state, and $1.80 million in the low demand state. Draw a decision tree to reflect the option to expand. Evaluate the alternatives. What is the net present value of the business if you consider the option to expand? How valuable is the option to expand?arrow_forward9. A decision-maker has two alternative courses of action, A1 and A2. There are three possible states of nature, S1, S2, and S3. The table of conditional profits, as well as the probabilities for the states of nature, appear below. Based on this decision table, which decision alternative produces the higher EMV? States of Nature Alternatives S1 S2 S3 A1 10,000 20,000 6,000 A2 5,000 30,000 15,000 Probability 0.3 0.5 0.2 Part 2 The best decision is ▼ a. alternative Upper A 1alternative A1 b. alternative Upper A 2alternative A2 , with an EMV=$________(enter your response as a whole number).arrow_forward
- A company is considering a new product launch. There is a 0.6 chance thatdemand for the product will be strong and a 0.4 chance that demand will beweak. Two strategies for the launch are possible: 1 has high promotion costs anda net cash outflow of K120 000 if demand proves to be strong, and if demandproves weak a net cash outflow of (K30 000) will result. Strategy 2 has lowpromotion costs and if demand is strong will generate a cash inflow of only K80000 but with weak demand a net cash inflow of K20 000. i. Draw a decision tree and advise which course of action generates thegreatest expected profit. ii. What is the maximum amount that should be paid for market research todetermine with certainty whether demand will be strong or weak?arrow_forwardThe fixed costs are split $4 million for development and $2 million for marketing. Perform a sensitivity analysis where the sum of these two fixed costs remains at $6 million but the split changes. Specifically, let the fixed cost of development vary from $1 million to $5 million in increments of $0.5 million. Does Acme’s best strategy change in this range? Use either a data table or PrecisionTree’s Sensitivity Analysis tools to answer this question.arrow_forwardSoftware development is an inherently risky and uncertain process. For example, there are many examples of software that couldnt be finished by the scheduled release datebugs still remained and features werent ready. (Many people believe this was the case with Office 2007.) How might you simulate the development of a software product? What random inputs would be required? Which outputs would be of interest? Which measures of the probability distributions of these outputs would be most important?arrow_forward
- An investor is considering investing in stocks, real estate, or bonds economic conditions. Suppose that the probabilities for good, stable and poor conditions are 0.2, 0.4 and … (figure it out), respectively. Table 1 shows the payoff returns for the investor’s decision situation. Table 1: Investment returns Economic Conditions Investment Good Stable Poor Stocks R5 000 R7 000 R3 000 Real estate -R2 000 R10 000 R6 000 Bonds R4 000 R4 000 R4 000 Assuming the probabilities of the occurrence of the state of nature are unknown, what will be the best investment alternative; a) If the decision maker is pessimistic about the future state, (3) b) If the decision maker strikes a compromise between the maximin and maximax, assuming the coefficient of pessimism is 0.2. (4) c) If the decision is based on opportunistic loss. (6) d) If we use the equally likelihood criterionarrow_forwardThe company’s marketing manager estimates that there is a 60% chance that demand will rise faster than the current rate, a 30% chance that it will continue to rise at the current rate and a 10% chance that it will increase at a slower rate or fall. Assuming that the company’s objective is to maximize expected net present value, determine (a)The course of action which it should take (b)The expected value of perfect information.arrow_forwardChemitronix Ltd. is a microchips manufacturing company. It was found that the business is at the maturity stage, demanding some change. After rigorous research, management came up with the following decision variables Expansion: 45% chance of gaining 1,500,000; 55% chance of losing X New Product: 50% chance of gaining 900,000; 50% chance of losing 545959 What must have been the value of expansion loss if expansion and new product will result to the same expected monetary values?arrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
Practical Management ScienceOperations ManagementISBN:9781337406659Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.Publisher:Cengage,
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:Cengage,