A business lady is wondering whether to invest OMR10,000 in buying bonds at Muscat Security Market (MSM) or put it in a fixed deposit account in Sohar bank at an interest rate of 9%. For the MSM, if the market is good, she believes that she could get a 14% return on her money. With a fair market, she expects to get an 8% return. If the market is bad, she will most likely get no return, i.e., the return would be 0%. She estimates that the probability of a good market is 0.4, the probability of a fair market is 0.4, and the probability of a bad market is 0.2, and she wishes to maximize her long-run average return. a. Develop a decision/payoff table for this problem. b. What is the best decision? c. Calculate the expected value of perfect information and interpret the result.
A business lady is wondering whether to invest OMR10,000 in buying bonds at Muscat Security Market (MSM) or put it in a fixed deposit account in Sohar bank at an interest rate of 9%. For the MSM, if the market is good, she believes that she could get a 14% return on her money. With a fair market, she expects to get an 8% return. If the market is bad, she will most likely get no return, i.e., the return would be 0%. She estimates that the probability of a good market is 0.4, the probability of a fair market is 0.4, and the probability of a bad market is 0.2, and she wishes to maximize her long-run average return. a. Develop a decision/payoff table for this problem. b. What is the best decision? c. Calculate the expected value of perfect information and interpret the result.
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
Publisher:Amos Gilat
Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1P
Related questions
Concept explainers
Unitary Method
The word “unitary” comes from the word “unit”, which means a single and complete entity. In this method, we find the value of a unit product from the given number of products, and then we solve for the other number of products.
Speed, Time, and Distance
Imagine you and 3 of your friends are planning to go to the playground at 6 in the evening. Your house is one mile away from the playground and one of your friends named Jim must start at 5 pm to reach the playground by walk. The other two friends are 3 miles away.
Profit and Loss
The amount earned or lost on the sale of one or more items is referred to as the profit or loss on that item.
Units and Measurements
Measurements and comparisons are the foundation of science and engineering. We, therefore, need rules that tell us how things are measured and compared. For these measurements and comparisons, we perform certain experiments, and we will need the experiments to set up the devices.
Topic Video
Question
Transcribed Image Text:A business lady is wondering whether to invest OMR10,000 in buying bonds at
Muscat Security Market (MSM) or put it in a fixed deposit account in Sohar bank
at an interest rate of 9%. For the MSM, if the market is good, she believes that
she could get a 14% return on her money. With a fair market, she expects to get
an 8% return. If the market is bad, she will most likely get no return, i.e., the return
would be 0%. She estimates that the probability of a good market is 0.4, the
probability of a fair market is 0.4, and the probability of a bad market is 0.2, and
she wishes to maximize her long-run average return.
a. Develop a decision/payoff table for this problem.
b. What is the best decision?
c. Calculate the expected value of perfect information and interpret the result.
d. The business lady is thinking about paying for a financial advising company
that could predict very accurately whether the market would be good, fair, or
bad. Advise the business lady on the maximum amount of money that she
should pay to the company? (
Expert Solution
This question has been solved!
Explore an expertly crafted, step-by-step solution for a thorough understanding of key concepts.
Step by step
Solved in 6 steps
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, statistics and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Recommended textbooks for you
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
Statistics
ISBN:
9781119256830
Author:
Amos Gilat
Publisher:
John Wiley & Sons Inc
Probability and Statistics for Engineering and th…
Statistics
ISBN:
9781305251809
Author:
Jay L. Devore
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Statistics for The Behavioral Sciences (MindTap C…
Statistics
ISBN:
9781305504912
Author:
Frederick J Gravetter, Larry B. Wallnau
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
Statistics
ISBN:
9781119256830
Author:
Amos Gilat
Publisher:
John Wiley & Sons Inc
Probability and Statistics for Engineering and th…
Statistics
ISBN:
9781305251809
Author:
Jay L. Devore
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Statistics for The Behavioral Sciences (MindTap C…
Statistics
ISBN:
9781305504912
Author:
Frederick J Gravetter, Larry B. Wallnau
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World (7th E…
Statistics
ISBN:
9780134683416
Author:
Ron Larson, Betsy Farber
Publisher:
PEARSON
The Basic Practice of Statistics
Statistics
ISBN:
9781319042578
Author:
David S. Moore, William I. Notz, Michael A. Fligner
Publisher:
W. H. Freeman
Introduction to the Practice of Statistics
Statistics
ISBN:
9781319013387
Author:
David S. Moore, George P. McCabe, Bruce A. Craig
Publisher:
W. H. Freeman