Figure 7(a) shows the correlogram of a stationary time series; Figure 7(b) shows the partial correlogram. Autocorrelation 1.0 0.5- 0.0 -0.5- -1.0 277 (a) Figure 7(a) & (b) ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Lag Partial autocorrelation 1.0 0.5- 0.0- -0.5- -1.0- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Lag (b) (a) Use the correlogram and partial correlogram to identify two plausible ARMA models for this time series. Explain carefully the reasons for your choices. (b) Use the principle of parsimony to identify which, if either, candidate model is 'better' from the pair you selected in part (a).
Figure 7(a) shows the correlogram of a stationary time series; Figure 7(b) shows the partial correlogram. Autocorrelation 1.0 0.5- 0.0 -0.5- -1.0 277 (a) Figure 7(a) & (b) ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Lag Partial autocorrelation 1.0 0.5- 0.0- -0.5- -1.0- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Lag (b) (a) Use the correlogram and partial correlogram to identify two plausible ARMA models for this time series. Explain carefully the reasons for your choices. (b) Use the principle of parsimony to identify which, if either, candidate model is 'better' from the pair you selected in part (a).
Chapter4: Linear Functions
Section4.3: Fitting Linear Models To Data
Problem 24SE: Table 6 shows the year and the number ofpeople unemployed in a particular city for several years....
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