Suppose you observe the time series of output y and real money supply M/ P reported in the Figure below. Nominal money supply M is under full control of the Central Bank. Output y Real Money Supply M°1P Time t Time t 1 3 4 5 1 3 6.

Microeconomic Theory
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Chapter17: Capital And Time
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Problem 17.9P: Precautionary saving and prudence The Query to Example 17.2 asks how uncertainty about the future...
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Suppose you observe the time series of output y and real money supply M/ P
reported in the Figure below. Nominal money supply M is under full control of the
Central Bank.
Output y
Real Money Supply M$/P
Time t
Time t
0 1
2
4
1
2
3
6.
Interpret these time series using the ASAD Redux model with workers
misperceptions (Lecture Notes, Chapter 1). Assume that the time paths are caused
by a single permanent shock hitting the economy at time t = 1, and interpret time t =
6 as the medium run. Your general task is to guess what type of shock can be
responsible for the observed time series. Answer each of the following questions,
providing clear motivation for your statements:
(B) Can the shock be a permanent change, positive or negative, in nominal
money supply Ms ? Motivate your answer.
Transcribed Image Text:Suppose you observe the time series of output y and real money supply M/ P reported in the Figure below. Nominal money supply M is under full control of the Central Bank. Output y Real Money Supply M$/P Time t Time t 0 1 2 4 1 2 3 6. Interpret these time series using the ASAD Redux model with workers misperceptions (Lecture Notes, Chapter 1). Assume that the time paths are caused by a single permanent shock hitting the economy at time t = 1, and interpret time t = 6 as the medium run. Your general task is to guess what type of shock can be responsible for the observed time series. Answer each of the following questions, providing clear motivation for your statements: (B) Can the shock be a permanent change, positive or negative, in nominal money supply Ms ? Motivate your answer.
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