You will take either a basket-weaving course or a philosophy course, depending on what your advisor decides. You estimate that the probability of getting an A in basket weaving is 0.80, while in philosophy it is 0.70. However, the chances of your advisor choosing the basket-weaving course is only 30%, while there is an 70% chance that he will put you in the philosophy course. What is the probability that you end up with an A? (Enter your answer to three decimal places.)

Calculus For The Life Sciences
2nd Edition
ISBN:9780321964038
Author:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Publisher:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Chapter12: Probability
Section12.3: Conditional Probability; Independent Events; Bayes' Theorem
Problem 44E
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You will take either a basket-weaving course or a philosophy course, depending on what your advisor decides. You estimate that the probability of getting an A in basket weaving is 0.80, while in philosophy it is 0.70. However, the chances of your advisor choosing the basket-weaving course is only 30%, while there is an 70% chance that he will put you in the philosophy course. What is the probability that you end up with an A? (Enter your answer to three decimal places.)

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