Exam 2 MSOM Example Problems
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1). A toy manufacturer has three different mechanisms that can be installed in a doll that it sel
The different mechanisms have three different setup costs (overheads) and variable costs and,
The anticipated payoffs are as follows.
Light Demand
Moderate Demand
Heavy Demand
Probability
0.25
0.45
0.3
A
$325,000 $190,000 $170,000 B
$300,000 $420,000 $400,000 C
($400,000)
$240,000 $800,000 $ 384,000.00 B
2). Suppose a manufacturing plant is considering three options for expansion. The first one is to expand into a new plant (large), the second to add on third-shift to the daily There are three possibilities for demand. These are high, medium, and low with the probability
Suppose that the profits for the expansion plans are as follows (respective to high, medium, low
The large expansion profits are $100000, $10000, -$10000, the medium expansion choice $400
$ 50,000.00 3). Chris Suit is administrator for Lowell Hospital. She is trying to determine whether to build a If the population of Lowell continues to grow, a large wing could return $150,000 to the hospit
If a small wing were built, it would return $100,000 to the hospital each year if the population If the population of Lowell remains the same, the hospital would encounter a loss of $85,000 w
Unfortunately, Suit does not have any information about the future population of Lowell.
Growth
Loss
Probability
0.5
0.5
1. What is the highest EMV? 2. Which action should be selected? a. What is the highest EMV? b. Which of the expansion plans should the manager choose? a. Assuming that each state of nature has the same likelihood, determine the best alternative.
b. If the likelihood of growth is .4 and that of remaining the same is .6 and the decision criterio
Large Wing
$ 150,000.00 $ (85,000.00)
Small Wing
$ 100,000.00 $ (45,000.00)
4). Tom Tucker, a robust 50-year-old executive living in the northern suburbs of St. Paul, has be
Although he is otherwise healthy, Tucker’s liver problem could prove fatal if left untreated. Firm
However, based on her own experience and recent medical journal articles, the internist tells h
approximately as follows: only a 60% chance of living 1 year, a 20% chance of surviving for 2 y
She places his probability of survival beyond age 58 without a liver transplant to be extremely Five percent of patients die during the operation or its recovery stage, with an additional 45% d
Twenty percent survive for 5 years, 13% survive for 10 years, and 8%, 5%, and 4% survive, resp
5). A toy manufacturer makes stuffed kittens and puppies that have relatively lifelike motions. These toys will sell for the same price regardless of the mechanism installed, but each mechan
The total investment cost for the Wind-Up action is $45,000; The investment cost for the Pneu
Profit, therefore, is dependent upon the choice of mechanism and upon the level of demand a
light demand, a 0.45 probability of moderate demand, and a probability of 0.35 of heavy dema
PROBABLITIES
0.2
0.45
Demand
Light
Moderate
Wind -up action
$250,000 $400,000 Pneumatic
$90,000 $440,000 Electronic
($100,000)
$400,000 $ 412,500.00 $ 420,000.00 $ 359,500.00 d. Based on EMV what choice should be made?
Pneumatic
a. What is the EMV in terms of years if Tucker decided not to have surgery? b. What is the EMV in terms of years if Tucker decided to have the surgery? c. Based on EMV, do you think that Tucker should select the transplant operation? a. What is the EMV for the Wind Up option? b. What is the EMV for the Pneumatic option? c. What is the EMV for the Electronic option?
6). Bratt's Bed and Breakfast, in a small historic New England town, must decide how to subdiv
There are three alternatives: Option A would modernize all baths and combine rooms, leaving Option B would modernize only the second floor; the results would be six suites, four for two t
Option C (the status quo option) leaves all walls intact. In this case, there are eight rooms avail
Below are the details of profit and demand patterns that will accompany each option. Which o
Annual profit under two customer reservation scenarios:
Reservations at Capacity
Probability
A (Modernize all)
$90,000 0.5
B (Modernize 2nd)
$80,000 0.4
C (Status Quo)
$60,000 0.3
B (Modernize 2nd)
$74,000 7). Deborah Kellogg buys Breathalyzer test sets for the Winter Park Police Department. The qu
Percent Defective
Probability Winter Park Tech Probability Dayton Enterprises
1
0.7
0.3
3
0.2
0.3
5
0.1
0.4
For example, the probability of getting a batch of tests that are 1% defective from Winter Park
Because Kellogg orders 10,000 tests per order, this would mean that there is a .70 probability o
A defective Breathalyzer test set can be repaired for $0.50. Although the quality of the test set
$ 90.00 $ 123.00 a. Which option should be chosen? b. What is the EMV of that option? Based on evaluating cost, answer the following questions:
a. What is the node value for Winter Park? b. What is the node value for Dayton? c. Based on cost, which supplier should Deborah Kellogg select?
8). Howard Weiss, Inc., is considering building a sensitive new radiation scanning device. His managers believe that there is a probability of 0.4 that the ATR Co. will come out with a com
If Weiss adds an assembly line for the product and ATR Co. does not follow with a competitive suit, Weiss still expects $10,000 profit. If Weiss adds a new plant addition and ATR does not pr
Weiss expects a profit of $600,000; if ATR does compete for this market, Weiss expects a loss o
a. What is the highest EMV $
$ 320,000.00 add plant addition
9). Steve Gentry, the operations manager of Baja Fabricators, wants to purchase a new profilin
However, because the price of crude oil is depressed, the market for such equipment is down.
Steve believes that the market will improve in the near future and that the company should ex
The table below displays the three equipment options he is currently considering, and the profi
The consensus forecast at Baja is that there is about a 30% probability that the market will pick
Equipment option
Investment in dollars
State of Nature Probability (soon)
Manual Machine
25,000
-120,000
NC Machine
68,500
140,000
CNC Machine
75,000
200,000
Probability
30%
What is the EMV for the Manual Machine option based on profit/loss? $
b. What is the EMV for the NC Machine option based on profit/loss? $
c. What is the EMV for the CNC Machine option based on profit/loss? $
Manual Machine
10). Jeff Kaufmann’s machine shop sells a variety of machines for job shops. A customer wants
The model XPO2 sells for $180,000, but Jeff is out of XPO2s. The customer says he will wait for
Jeff knows that there is a wholesale market for XPO2s from which he can purchase an XPO2. b. Based on EMV what is your decision? d. What decision should Steve Gentry make?
Jeff can buy an XPO2 today for $150,000, or he can wait a day and buy an XPO2 (if one is availa
If at least one XPO2 is still available tomorrow, Jeff can wait until the day after tomorrow and b
There is a 0.40 probability that there will be no model XPO2s available tomorrow. If there are model XPO2s available tomorrow, there is a 0.70 probability that by the day after t
Three days from now, it is certain that no model XPO2s will be available on the wholesale mark
Purchase tomorrow
*highest expected profit*
11). Boyer Inc. is considering the introduction of a new product. This product can be manufactured in one of several ways: Using the present system at a variab
They can upgrade the present system, which will have a variable cost of $48.00 per unit, and a
That last option consists of adding a new system with a per unit variable cost of $25.00, and an
The organization is worried however, about the impact of competition. If no competition occurs, they expect to manufacture 4,500, 6,800, and 8,800 units for the pre
With competition, they expect to manufacture: 3,750, 5,500, and 6,700 units respectively.
Based on evaluating cost, determine the following:
$ 239,487.50 $ 318,032.00 $ 235,075.00 New system
*lowest total cost*
a. What is the maximum expected profit if Jeff makes the purchase today? b. What is the maximum expected profit if Jeff makes the purchase tomorrow? c. What is the maximum expected profit if Jeff makes the purchase two days from now? d. What is the maximum expected profit if Jeff makes the purchase three days from now? e. What should Jeff do? At the moment their best estimate is that there is a 57% chance of competition. They decided
a. What is the EMV for using the present system? b. What is the EMV for upgrading the present system? c. What is the EMV for installing a new system? d. Which decision should Boyer Inc. make?
lls. , therefore, the profit from the dolls is dependent on the volume of sales. EMV
$ 217,750.00 $ 384,000.00 $ 248,000.00 schedule (medium), and the third to do nothing (small). y of .5 (H), .25 (M), .25 (L) of occurring. w demand). 000, $40000, $5000 and the small expansion choice $15000, $15000, $15000.
High demand
Large
Probability
0.5
Large
$ 100,000.00 Medium
$ 40,000.00 Small
$ 15,000.00 large wing on the existing hospital, a small wing, or no wing at all. tal each year. continues to grow. with a large wing and a loss of $45,000 with a small wing. Large Wing
EMV
Growth
Loss
Probability
0.4
0.6
, what is the EM
on is expected monetary value, which decision should Suit make?
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Related Questions
4.7
Hudson Corporation is considering three options for managing its data processing operation: continuing with its own staff, hiring an outside vendor to do the managing (referred to as outsourcing), or using a combination of its own staff and an outside vendor. The cost of the operation depends on future demand. The annual cost of each option (in thousands of dollars) depends on demand as follows:
Demand
Staffing Options
High
Medium
Low
Own staff
650
650
600
Outside vendor
900
600
300
Combination
800
650
500
If the demand probabilities are 0.2, 0.5, and 0.3, and the table below shows the total cost of the different options, construct a risk profile for the optimal decision in the table.
Option
Total Cost
Own Staff
635
Outside Vendor
570
Combination
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10.2
Note:-
Please refrain from offering handwritten solutions. Please ensure that your response maintains accuracy and quality to avoid receiving a downvote.
Take care of plagiarism.
Answer completely.
You will get up vote for sure.
arrow_forward
7
Consider a supply chain with the manufacturer, the retailer and end-users, using a buy-back contract, as below cost-benefit & demand forecasting details:
F=$120,000 ; c=$30 ; w=$75 ; b=$50 ; p=$122 ; s=$15;
Demand
1,800
1,920
2,040
2,160
Probability
26%
27%
29%
18%
Calculate the retailer’s marginal profit, retailer’s marginal loss, manufacturer’s marginal profit.
Calculate the expected profit of the retailer and the manufacturer for 4 above-mentioned demand scenarios. Then, conclude on which production quantity Q to maximize manufacturer’s expected profit, which production quantity Q to maximize retailer’s expected profit.
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ABC Company negotiates a 1% credit card discount. If a customer charges $1,000 on his VISA credit card, how much money will ABC receive?
ABC Company sold $10,000 of merchandise to a customer on September 1. The terms were 2/10, n/30. How much money will ABC Company is paid by September 8?
Group of answer choices
$9,000
$10,000
$9,800
$7,000
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Please solve 15, 16, 17. Thank you!.
15. You have two types of buyers for your product. Forty percent of buyers value your product at $10 and the remainder of the buyers value it at $6. What price maximizes your expected revenue?
Group of answer choices
a. $7
b. $6
c. $8
d. $10
16. Skip, the manager of a local senior living facility, has been under a lot of pressure from his regional manager because the occupancy rate at his facility is 80%. Given his fixed costs, if he wants his average per patient costs to equal his company’s average per patient cost (which is lower than Skip’s), he needs to increase his occupancy rate to 90%. When he does this, he will be taking advantage of
Group of answer choices
a. Economies of scale
b. Marginal analysis
c. Opportunity costs
d. Economies of scope
17. When Sabrina reduced the price of her hourly accounting rates, her clients asked her to devote more hours to the financial aspects of their businesses. Her clients’…
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The service quality-related e-demand factors show a weak connection with the provision of e-government information or services.
Select one:
a. True
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1 . Individual Problems 17-2
You're a contestant on a TV game show. In the final round of the game, if contestants answer a question correctly, they will increase their current winnings of $3 million to $4 million. If they are wrong, their prize is decreased to $2,250,000. You believe you have a 25% chance of answering the question correctly.
Ignoring your current winnings, your expected payoff from playing the final round of the game show is
. Given that this is , you play the final round of the game. (Hint: Enter a negative sign if the expected payoff is negative.)
The lowest probability of a correct guess that would make the guessing in the final round profitable (in expected value) is . (Hint: At what probability does playing the final round yield an expected value of zero?)
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1) A key difficulty facing insurance companies is that people know more about their health than do insurance companies, and that those people who are seriously ill are the most likely to want to obtain health insurance. What is this phenomenon called?
A) moral hazard
B) economic irrationality
C) asymmetric information
D) adverse selection
2) An insurance company is likely to attract customers like Clancy who want to purchase insurance because he knows better that the company that he is more likely to make a claim on a policy. What is the term used to describe the situation above?
A) moral hazard
B) adverse selection
C) asymmetric information
D) economic irrationality
3) The term that is used to refer to a situation in which one party to an economic transaction has less information than the other party is
A) inefficient market hypothesis.
B) moral hazard.
C) information disparity.
D) asymmetric information.
4) Which of the following parties is…
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1
The functional e-demand factors can be organized into three quality packages(USS): Use quality, System Quality, and Service quality.
Select one:
a. False
b. True
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(A) (B) Refer to the above graphs. Which graph depicts a situation where sellers are increasing their output because their product is becoming more popular among buyers?
Note:-
Do not provide handwritten solution. Maintain accuracy and quality in your answer. Take care of plagiarism.
Answer completely.
You will get up vote for sure.
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Problem 12-05 (Algo)
A
risk-neutral consumer is deciding whether to purchase a homogeneous product
from one of two firms One firm produces an unreliable product and the other
a reliable product At the time of the sale, the consumer is unable to distinguish
between the two firmsâ products From the consumerâs perspective, there is an
equal chance that a given firmâs product is reliable or unreliable The
maximum amount this consumer will pay for an unreliable product is $0, while
she will pay $210 for a reliable product
a
Given
this uncertainty, what is the most this consumer will pay to purchase one
unit of this product?
$
b
How
much will this consumer be willing to pay for the product if the firm
offering the reliable product includes a warranty that will protect the
consumer?
$
Problem 12-04
You
are the manager of a firm that sells a âcommodityâ in a market that…
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A group of 10 people have the following annual incomes: $55,000, $30,000, $15,000, $20,000, $35,000, $80,000, $40,000, $45,000, $30,000, $50,000. Complete the table.
Income
Quintile
Share of Income
$15,000
Bottom
$20,000
$30,000
2nd
$30,000
$35,000
3rd
$40,000
$45,000
4th
$50,000
$55,000
Top
$80,000
If $4000 is taxed from the top earner and transferred to the lowest earner, would that increase or decrease the share of income held by the top quintile?
Would this transfer increase or decrease the share of income held by the bottom quintile?
Would this have any effect on the 2nd quintile? The 3rd? The 4th?
Would this transfer increase, decrease, or have no effect on income inequality in this group?
Redistributing income from the highest earner to the lowest one would reduce the utility of the top earner and increase the utility of the lowest earner. But what would happen to the overall utility of the…
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Question options:
a)
More diabetics would use the treatment Pfizer invented, and drug companies would invest more in R&D for future treatments
b)
Fewer diabetics would use the treatment Pfizer invented, and drug companies would invest more in R&D for future treatments
c)
More diabetics would use the treatment Pfizer invented, and drug companies would invest less in R&D for future treatments
d)
Fewer diabetics would use the treatment…
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Explain the principle of Indemnification in case of marine insurance contract with
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sub:insurence
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1) The standards for a product call for 2.5 pounds of a raw material that costs $6.10 per pound. Last month, 30,000 pounds of the raw material were purchased for $187,500. The actual output of the month was 9,000 units of the product. A total of 22,200 pounds of the raw material were used to produce this output. Required: a. What is the materials price variance for the month? b. What is the materials quantity variance for the month?
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No written by hand solution
Version:0.9 StartHTML:0000000105 EndHTML:0000006359 StartFragment:0000000141 EndFragment:0000006319
The demand and the supply of timber for construction in Australia are given by
QD =100 – 20P
QS = 5P
We assume the market is perfectly competitive.
2.1. Compute the equilibrium price PCE and quantity QCE.
2.2. Plot on a graph: the demand curve, the supply curve, and the equilibrium price and quantity.
2.3: Calculate the price elasticity of demand and price elasticity of supply at the equilibrium price and quantity.
2.4. Calculate the producer surplus and consumer surplus in the equilibrium and illustrate them in a graph.
2.5. Suppose there are many construction companies collapsed (and left the market), use a demand and supply graph to explain how the collapse affects the equilibrium price and quantity.
2.6. Consider the setup in 2.1-2.4, and suppose there is a strike of loggers, which change the supply to QS = 4P. Calculate the new…
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A4
A known phenomenon in everyday life is that often in a purchase situation there is a deviation between the original asking price from the seller (in form of “manufacturer’s suggested retail price” (MSRP), list price etc.) and the transaction price you as a consumer actually pay in the end. This deviation is due to different forms of tactical discounting practices according to Smith. The seller company usually put in a lot of efforts to managing these price variances.
But could you theoretically explain this deviation in a purchase situation out of the consumer’s perspective. This on how it impacts the behavior and decision making of the consumer? Use concepts e.g., like customer utility, willingness-to-pay, consumer surplus, and reference price in your explication. Also, out of your above answer and your now extensive knowledge in pricing theory – what could be major flaws in the proposing argument that it would be better for everybody (society, citizens, consumers, companies etc.)…
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If the plaintiff is risk‐neutral, which of the following is true?
A) The plaintiff will take the case to court with an expected net‐gain of $10,000
B) The plaintiff will take the case to court with an expected net‐gain of $15,000
C) The plaintiff will not take the case to court because he is afraid of losing.
D) None of the above
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Market: Motorcycles. Scenario: Consumers learn that cars will be much more heavily taxed starting with next year’s models.
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Over the course of a customer’s lifetime of reading a weekly magazine priced at $4 per issue, what is the value of the magazine? Assume a customer acquisition cost of $12, a retention cost of $0, printing and distribution costs of $1, an annual retention rate of 77% and an annual discount rate of 2.6%. Assume that price and non-marketing variable costs remain constant over the customer’s lifetime of reading the magazine.
Options:
A) 10.05
B) 30.50
C) 73.49
D) 14.20
E) 0.02
F) 261.25
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