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Climate Change : Past, Present, And Future

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Cihad Ayberk Doner
Instructor: Dr. Kam-biu Liu (Professor & Chair, DOCS)
OCS 4600 Global Environmental Change: Past, Present, and Future

Improving Future Climate Modeling Using Paleoclimate Data and Investigating To Effects On Water Resources

Introduction

The purpose of this paper is to contemplate the use of information and all the knowledge gained from this class in regards to my work on climate change effects on water resources. Specifically, my purpose is to search for knowledge and data from paleoclimatic evidence that will allow us to make better future climate projections for the model that uses the effects of climate to water resources. To put this into perspective, when we look at the data set from 1900 to present and attempt …show more content…

Second, the trends of climate fluctuation are observable and it is the best way to create a future model for climate change thus far. However, small, seemingly minute changes can make enormous differences on earth’s global climate, which can especially be seen when we look at paleoclimatic evidences such as younger dryer event, ocean currents and milankovitch cycles. This changes significantly affect the hydrological cycle and sea levels on the earth.

Considering the records of climate history, it may help us to create more accurate climate models with less uncertainty. Currently, in order to constitute a trustable model several individual models are combined, but there still remains significant uncertainties. Those uncertain predictions may become vitally important when managing climate adaptation and attempting to reduce negative effects. Lack of observations or having collected data from a short time period are usually the reasons for these uncertainties. Therefore, paleoclimate records are able to extend the time frame and consider new information for the behavior of climate of a region. This paper discusses the importance of modeling hydrological cycles which are precipitation, floods, drought and change on sea levels. Moreover, the uncertainty of current models due to lack of data and the way of lesser those uncertainties using paleoclimate proxies.

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