Effects Of Economics On Political Change

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The findings of this study leads to puzzling discoveries. Moving forward, researchers should look at effects of economics on political change in the South at a local level as well as at the state level. While the findings suggest a decline in agriculture affected party strength, the more general question about economic change affecting party strength/partisanship needs further exploration. There were more economic changes occurring in the South besides agricultural decline. The South also experienced increases in its manufacturing, government and services sectors during the time under study. Under the current hypothesis as a community becomes less agricultural, people most people made more money and became more susceptible economic…show more content…
A mixed methods approach seems on the outset to be most appropriate for this future research, because it allows for interviews with local party leaders to guide the statistical analyses. Also, most people consider themselves citizens of a community more than they consider themselves citizens of a state. Thus, individuals should be better able to notice the economic change on a community level instead of a state level. The closest data that is publically available for community data is at the county or municipal level. One particular problem with doing research at the county level is that not all data one would want is available at that level. Missing data was a particularly troublesome problem for the present analysis but there are some possibilities to provide a statistical fix to that problem. Some of these issues may be solved using multilevel modeling to generate point estimates from large national polls, however, a statistical “fix” does not cure the absence of data. One of the interesting findings of this project concerned the effects of turnout on changes in party strength. There seem to be several ways forward here. One can expand the study and see if changes in turnout also drove changes outside of the South. This seems unlikely, however, because the South had such anemic turnout at the start of the period under study while the rest of the nation did not. There are other ways to address this as well. For example, I could look at cohorts of first time voters
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