The issue:
Grand Metropolitan PLC is the world’s largest wine and spirits seller. It mainly operated in London, USA. In 1991, it beats market expectation with a 4.8% increase in pretax profits, and the company Chairman stated that company’s goal “to constantly improve on”. Despite the great performance in the world recession in 1991, the price of GrandMet shares was 10% below the average price/earnings ratio of the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 index. And more important, rumors had that GrandMet, valued at more than $14 billion in the stock market, maybe a takeover target. The management dilemma is to understand why the company’s stock is traded below of what considered being the right price and whether the company is truly
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Due to the fact that non UK companies' betas were calculated in relation to specific country stock markets we believe that using the total industry average betas shown in the Exhibit 8 of the case that include betas of non UK is going to provide us skewed results. Using the data from exhibit 8 of the case we calculated asset betas for UK based companies involved in the same industries as Grant Metropolitan. (see Exhibit 1) Using specific companies’ asset betas we calculated average asset betas for Restaurant – retailing, food processing and drinks industries. Next using Grant Metropolitan balance sheet (exhibits 3 and 9 of the case) we identified the debt-to-equity ratio and tax rate. Next we calculated levered equity beta for each of the industries that Grant Metropolitan is involved in. Using the net assets percentages by industry we calculated weighted average levered equity beta for Grant Metropolitan which is 1.51. (see Exhibit 1). Next we determined that most of Grant Metropolitan debt was for 5 year term therefore we used the U.K. Gilts 5 year yield as risk free rate (10%) for the purpose of cost of equity calculation. We used UK risk free rate due to the same reasons as we used UK companies to calculate industry asset betas. Using exhibit 9 of the case we identified the market risk premium to be 3.9%. Using this date and formula
Swan-Davis, Inc. (SDI) manufactures equipment for sale to large contractors. The company was founded in 1976 by Tom Stone, the current chairman, and it went public in 1980 at $1 per share. The stock currently sells for $15, Stone owns 14 percent of the shares, and other officers and directors control another 13 percent. The industry is cyclical, and competition is strong, so profits are some-what unstable. Tables 1, 2, and 3 provide historical balance sheets, income statements, and ratios for the company for the period 1994–1996, Table 4 provides industry average data for 1994-1996, and Table 5 provides one security analyst’s forecasted data for the company based on assumptions
The share price of $270,000 was significantly higher because the “fair value” as perceived by the dissenters, which accounted for the chance of an IPO. Taking into account the recently traded Kohler Co. share prices, the book value of a share, and the possibility of an IPO greatly inflated what the perceived value of each share should be. While Kohler believed their voting control and ownership structure would remain the same, the shareholders believed otherwise. Because shareholders assumed Kohler would go public, they argued for a higher valuation so as to receive the highest price, and thus profit, in the buyout. So based on the highest MVE, we picked Masco as the comparable firm of choice. Using Masco’s MVE, $9838.8, and LTM EBIAT, $437.3, we solved for Masco’s P/E ratio, which was equal to 22.5. By multiplying the P/E ratio by Kohler’s LTM EBIAT (22.5 * $93.76), we projected a market value of $2,109,610,000. To solve for estimated share price, we divided the projected market value by 7,587.89, the number of shares outstanding to obtain an estimated share price of $278,023.47. This estimate is near the $270,000 per share offer price.
The table below shows the equity betas for the firms presented in the case (using Jan-92 to Dec-96 equal weight NYSE/AMEX/NASDAQ as market portfolio):
A correct response requires that you find an appropriate industry beta and measure for levered/unlevered betas and requires that you define cost of equity capital and free cash flow (FCF) – you may need a formula for FCF.
Like several companies, Nortel stipendiary their executives with stock choices (Collins, 2011). This compensation solely inspired the tendency to be but honest regarding the company’s finances. author closely-held stock choices that solely inspired his actions to fulfill or beat the benchmark set by analysts. If Nortel’s earnings showed to be higher than the benchmark, Nortel’s stock costs would rise creating the stock closely-held by management to be even a lot of valuable. By tweaking the books to indicate the road earnings price as critical the allowable accumulation price he created the stakeholders assume that the corporate was creating extra money than it had been. “Nortel ne'er incomprehensible a benchmark over the sixteen quarters (Collins, 2011).” it had been too tempting to bump the numbers up so the stocks gave the impression to be value over they were. “Nortel’s accounting practices junction rectifier to AN investigation by AN freelance review committee, that found that insubordination with accumulation and accounting fraud were undertaken to fulfill internally obligatory earnings targets (Collins, 2011).”
To find the cost of equity we used the formula rs = rRF + beta*MRP in which rRF2002 = 5.86% and the Market Risk Premium (MRP) = 5% as calculated by the Southwest Airlines finance department. We then calculated the beta for Southwest Airlines based on a regression analysis of five-year monthly returns on Southwest stock from January 1997 to January 2002, compared with the S&P 500 returns over the same period. This regression analysis indicated that Beta = .2219. Therefore,
Tied in with projections for commodity pricing is the undervaluation of the company. A major incentive for management in this buyout is clearly this undervaluation. KMI had been valued between $100 and 120 a share, yet was trading at only $84. KMI had experienced five years of increasing revenues and its net income was on an upward trend. KMI was financially healthy and its vast infrastructure would only continue to generate cash flows. It was a perfect buy-low scenario for the investors that knew the firm the best, the managers.
The following paper will discuss General Motor’s (GM) mission, vision, objectives, and goals, along with General Motors compared and contrasted by management styles with Toyota Corporation whom adopted total quality management (TQM). The paper will discuss characteristics of Toyota Corporation TQM with General Motors and the extent to which Toyota Corporation TQM practices can integrate into General Motors management practices.
Furthermore, from the decreasing collections period it can be seen that GM had to write off portions of its receivables due to the fact that consumers would no longer be able to pay the company with the financial crisis happening (Appendix A). As the crisis continued it can be seen through decreasing liquidity ratios that GM became less solvent, and the company’s decreasing payables period shows that suppliers became far less tolerant of GM borrowing from them (Appendix A). Finally, the extremely low price-earnings ratio of GM signals that shareholders had very little faith in how well the company would do in the future (Appendix A).
In the case study, “The William Wrigley Jr. Company: Captial Structure, Valuation, and the Cost of Capital” the author, Robert Bruner, examines how Blanka Dobrynin, managing partner at Aurora Borealis, explores the opportunity to persuade Wrigley’s board to complete a leveraged recapitalization through a dividend or major share repurchase. Through her active investor strategy, Blanca is trying to increase the value of investment in Wrigley. Blanca’s objective would be to create ultimately new value in Wm. Wrigley Jr. corporation and thus increase the value of Aurora Borealis’
When first looking at potential projects to pursue, we always prioritize determining which correct financial information to use when determining our project’s β (beta)(OR METRICS). When calculating the project beta we first determined our firm's levered beta. When comparing the monthly return data of Smitt corporation's stock over the past five years to the S&P 500 over the same time period, we are given a levered beta of 1.131.The next step is to remove our debt considerations from the thought process, which means calculating the unlevered beta. Using the previous five years of tax rates and debt/equity ratios, we were able to find the average sensitivity(OR beta) of all monthly returns to be .877.
McKinsey research shows that divestments are a major potential source of value creation but a largely neglected one (Roxburgh, 2016). While anchoring may be a powerful tool for strategists when negotiations or naming a high sale price for a business may help secure an attractive outcome for the seller, since the buyer’s offer is anchored around a figure. Most retail-fund managers advertise their funds on the basis of past performance. Repeated studies have failed to show any statistical correlation between good past performance and future performance. Our expectations about equity returns have been seriously distorted by recent experience. A sunk cost
Much has been written about famed U.S. investor and Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett’s investment style and successes. Preeminent among these writings are the oft-cited Berkshire Hathaway shareholder letters, written by the “Oracle of Omaha” himself. These informative letters have been the basis for a multitude of books. But even with an abundance of available information on “how to invest like Warren Buffett,” it is apparent that something is lacking, how does Buffett determine an acceptable price for companies of interest? This article provides an example of the process
To determine the beta factor of a given firm, three things must be put into consideration;
After determining the risk-free rate, we need to determine the beta coefficient. The regression beta can be calculated by using weekly share price of BAL’s and ASX S&P200. The result shows that the regression beta equals to 0.3183, however, the R-square is only 1.229%. Therefore, levered industry beta is more reliable than regression beta.