Monetary Policy And The Housing Bubble Analysis

However, hope might be on the horizon for the victims of the mortgage disaster of 2007/2008. Home buyers who were foreclosed upon years ago, or boomerang buyers, are beginning to be eligible to buy homes again. While some feel hope after feeling bamboozled by lenders and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, some feel anxious and fearful of the thought of buying again. Yet there are lessons that have been learned by the mortgage meltdown. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac provided a lesson for the

During the early 2000 's, the United States housing market experienced growth at an unprecedented rate, leading to historical highs in home ownership. This surge in home buying was the result of multiple illusory financial circumstances which reduced the apparent risk of both lending and receiving loans. However, in 2007, when the upward trend in home values could no longer continue and began to reverse itself, homeowners found themselves owing more than the value of their properties, a trend which lent itself to increased defaults and foreclosures, further reducing the value of homes in a vicious, self-perpetuating cycle. The 2008 crash of the near-$7-billion housing industry dragged down the entire U.S. economy, and by extension, the global economy, with it, therefore having a large part in triggering the global recession of 2008-2012.

The housing crisis of the late 2000s rocked the economy and changed the landscape of the real estate business for years to come. Decades of people purchasing houses unfordable houses and properties with lenient loans policies led to a collective housing bubble. When the banking system faltered and the economy wilted, interest rates were raised, mortgages increased, and people lost their jobs amidst the chaos. This all culminated in tens of thousands of American losing their houses to foreclosures and short sales, as they could no longer afford the mortgage payments on their homes. The United States entered a recession and homeownership no longer appeared to be a feasible goal as many questioned whether the country could continue to support a middle-class. Former home owners became renters and in some cases homeless as the American Dream was delayed with no foreseeable return. While the future of the economy looked bleak, conditions gradually improved. American citizens regained their jobs, the United States government bailed out the banking industry, and regulations were put in place to deter such events as the mortgage crash from ever taking place again. The path to homeowner ship has been forever altered, as loans in general are now more difficult to acquire and can be accompanied by a substantial down payment.

The nation's monetary policy is set up by the Federal Reserve in order to support the aims and objectives of better employment, stable prices and a suitable and logical long term interest rates. One of the main challenges that are faced by policy makers is the stress among the aims and objectives that can occur in the short term and the fact that information regarding the economy becomes delayed and can be inaccurate (Monetary).

During 2007 through 2010 there existed what we commonly refer to as the subprime mortgage crisis. Through deduction of readings by those considered esteemed in the realm of finance - such as Ben Bernanke - the crisis arose out of an earlier expansion of mortgage credit. This included extending mortgages to borrowers who previously would have had difficulty getting mortgages; this both contributed to and was facilitated by rapidly rising home prices. Pre-subprime mortgages, those looking to buy homes found it difficult to obtain mortgages if they had below average credit histories, provided small down payments or sought high-payment loans without the collateral, income, and/or credit history to match with their mortgage request. Indeed some high-risk families could obtain small-sized mortgages backed by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA), otherwise, those facing limited credit options, rented. Because of these processes, home ownership fluctuated around 65 percent, mortgage foreclosure rates were low, and home construction and house prices mainly reflected swings in mortgage interest rates and income.

Record high unemployment, declining home values, and a recessionary climate have plunged the housing industry into a downward spiral. It started with lenient mortgage guidelines that allowed millions of people to achieve the American Dream of owning their own home. Eventually they ended up living beyond their means. Adjustable rate mortgages came due and realizing that they could not afford the jump in mortgage payment, homeowners began to put their homes up for sale. There weren’t enough buyers to keep up with the supply, and mortgages began to go into default. Families across America were faced with the reality that they could no longer afford to keep their homes, and foreclosures began to flood the market, leading the nation into a

Several years ago, many of us could not imagine mortgage meltdown ending. It seemed as if the foreclosures/short sales were increasing and the American dream of buying a home was decreasing. Many people felt hopeless and cheated when it came to the economy’s poor status due to the housing crash. Many lessons were learned from the collapse and although it may seem hard to believe, there were silver linings in the mistakes made during the mortgage meltdown. Today, real estate buyers are benefiting from the past mistakes and have more confidence in their home buying purchases.

What have you always been told whenever you get into some money or a new job? “Housing is always the best investment.” If you have been told this, you have been told a lie. (TruTV) Housing was thought to have been a rock solid industry for decades, but that all changed in 2007. As showed by Paramount Pictures movie “The Big Short” shows very entertainingly how banks and regulation have made America 's housing market into a system of fraud and theft by big banks. “But that 's in the past” some may say, but as former housing market crash investor and former owner of Multimillion dollar investing firm Michael J. Burry stated, “Today 's economy is showing telltale signs of repeating the mistakes made in the 2007 crash.” (Michael Burry Blog) An analysis of the housing market of today will reveal many signs of an inevitable crash such as: the minimum wage fallacy, The prices of housing rising, the government supporting bad loans, and why the government cannot stop it.

One of the notable issues with the U.S housing market is the extent to which the Government failed to stimulate home ownership rates in the long run. Historical trends in the U.S home ownership rates show stagnant growth in home ownership after the early 1960’s. The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review indicated that homeownership rates remained relatively constant from 1965 to 1995, despite a wide variety of government policies aimed at stimulating home ownership (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review 2006). Following 1995, the U.S home ownership rates indicated significant improvements. According to the U.S Statistical Abstract, aggregate home ownership during the period 1995 to 2005 indicated a record high for the U.S housing market (Chambers, Garriga, & Schlagenhauf 2008). Matthew Chambers, a professor for Towson University,

Everyone has heard the news on the current deteriorating state of the economy, the severe credit crisis and the declining housing market. Fox, CNN, MSNBC, other news outlets and even the President remind us of our pain daily. The people's fears and perception have now become reality. Home foreclosures are at an all time high even in my neighborhood in Jersey City with many more foreclosures likely to come. The unemployment rate in Hudson County, New Jersey is growing daily and is the highest it has been in many years. Housing resale values are at all time lows with no end in sight. Even the banks are going bankrupt as are many Americans who no longer qualify for credit.Because of the recent credit crisis, many people don't qualify for a new loan to buy a house right now, despite the incredibly low housing prices.

Americans are weary of the market still, and who can blame them? Even as the economy is improving, 7.4 million current homeowners are still drowning in home debt. RealyTrac defines mortgage debt as having a loan amount that is a minimum of 25 percent higher than the property’s market value. More than 13 percent of all mortgaged properties in the U.S. are in this group. Nonetheless, it’s still much lower than the more than 17 percent of mortgages that were underwater in early 2014.

In 2005, the market was flooded with a vast array of homes that were all selling at a low price, and this allowed people to buy and sell homes with minimal effort. Banks were being reckless with their lending, not giving enough attention to who they were giving mortgages to, as virtually anybody with a decent credit score could go to a bank and get a mortgage, sometimes without even going to see if the land and ability for development was there. This created a housing bubble in 2006, and would inevitably come back to hurt a wide range of industries, but few were as damaged as the new construction industry.

The source that lead to inflation began in 2000, with the funding of subprime mortgages or mortgages for individuals who had too low of credit and no down payment, with private-label mortgage-backed securities (Duca). This was done because subprime mortgages are more risky, so these securities would absorb that risk (Duca). The result of this process was that more individuals bought homes (Duca). In competitive markets when more individuals qualified for a loan, the demand for housing

Around 2006 the price of houses began to fall substantially fast. “The oversupply of houses and lack of buyers pushed the house prices down until they really plunged in the late 2006 and early 2007” (The Subprime Mortgage Crisis Explained). These actions threw investors into a big dilemma. In the beginning they believed buying the mortgages would bring them a profit, but quickly realized that the mortgages would cost them more financial damage than reselling the homes. “Nationwide, home vales have declined about 16% since the summer of 2006 and experts project that the drop will continue until homes have lost about 25% of their value” (Biroonak, 2008). In other words mortgage homes are “underwater”, that is, the mortgage owed equals or exceeds the value of the house (Biroonak, 2008). Investors and homeowners started to go more in debt trying to pay off their original debts.

None of these explanations, however, is capable of fully explaining the housing bubble. From 1997 to 2006 nominal U.S. housing prices rose 188%. By mid-2009, however, housing prices had fallen by 33% from peak. As the United States attempts to rebuild its housing finance system, it is of paramount importance to understand what caused the housing bubble. Until we understand how and why the housing bubble occurred, we cannot be certain that a reconstructed housing finance system will not again produce such a devastating bubble. As you can see there are numerous theories and explanations for the bubble. Without getting too deep