Restructuring Nova Chemical Corporation

First, the projected cash flows range from $21.2 million in 2007 to $29.5 million in 2011 as shown in the data exhibit ‘DCF model.’ To generate these numbers Liedtke’s base case performance projections are used for the projected 2007 – 2011 net revenue numbers and the estimated depreciation and then his projections for Balance sheet accounts were used to determine the current net working capital and capital expenditure as in the exhibit ‘Financial statements.’ These projections were based by Liedtke under the following assumptions, women’s casual footwear would be wound down within one year and the historical corporate overhead-revenue ratio would conform to historical averages. These annual cash flows give us a PV (Cash flows) of $96.15 million over the next 5 years.

Debt to Equity ℎℎ ′ 9,771+1,885 Dividend Payout Inventory Turnover = 0.069 Working backwards from the income tax expense, we estimate income tax rate to be 34%. NOPAT is then Operating profit taxes, or 3,137*(1-0.34) = 0.319 Average

Our estimated cost of capital, 20.81%, is lower than Ricketts’ expected return, 30%-50%, thus the investment is worthy. However, it’s higher than other pessimistic members’ expected return, 10%-15%, making the decision more complex and requiring further valuation。

11. What are the amounts and timing of the acquisition investment’s free cash flow from 2013 through 2022? You will need to find an appropriate growth rate and extend Exhibit 6 out through 2022.

$135,000 $90,000 TOTAL REVENUE $3,136,500 $2,352,375 $1,568,250 Expences TOTAL VARIABLE COSTS $454,000 $340,500 $227,000 TOTAL FIXED COSTS $1,403,000 $1,403,001 $1,403,002 TOTAL EXPENSE BEFORE IT $1,857,000 $1,743,501 $1,630,002 EBIT $1,279,500 $608,874 -$61,752 Depreciation $320,000 $320,001 $320,002 EBITDA $1,599,500 $928,875 $258,250 Furnishing Interest $110,000 $110,000 $110,000 20yr Mortgage Interest $182,000 $182,000 $182,000 TOTAL INTEREST $292,000 $292,000 $292,000 TAXES (40%) $395,000.00 $126,749.60 -$141,500.80 Furnishing Principal $180,160 $180,160 $180,160 20yr Mortgage Principal $49,713 $49,713 $49,713 TOTAL PRINCIPAL $229,873 $229,873 $229,873 NET INCOME $362,627 -$39,749 -$442,124 DIVIDEND PAYMENT $29,010 -$3,180 -$35,370 RETAINED EARNINGS $333,617 -$36,569 EBIT/INTEREST 4.38 2.09 (0.21) EBITDA/INTEREST 5.48 3.18 0.88 BURDEN $675,121.67 $675,121.67 $675,121.67 EBIT/BURDEN 1.90 0.90 (0.09) ROE= Net Income/OE (H1) 32.97% -3.61% -40.19% Revenue Estimates Revenue Item 100% Monthly 75%

From 1976 to 1982 the compound annual growth in net sales was 18.5% and the compound annual growth of after tax profit was 25.9%. Therefore, a 10% net sales growth shown in the proforma financial data seems reasonable.

in our calculations, as this company exhibited dramatic value differences to others in the sample, (likely to skew our results and prove misleading). Using the average of the revised sample field for each ratio, we inserted Torrington’s values where appropriate to generate an entity value. The findings generated two values for Torrington, 606 million and 398 million. Taking the average of these two numbers, Torrington exhibited a relative value of 502.41 million. Because of the lack of related information given in the case, and the often large differences in measures amongst competitors, different capital structures, internal management strategies, there remained many unknowns in our model. We decided it would be best to use this valuation to reaffirm our assumptions in our DCF valuation. (Please see exhibits)

One is Working capital to total assets ratio that measures a firm’s ability to pay off its short-term liabilities and is calculated by subtracting current liabilities from current assets divided by total assets. The retained earnings to total assets ratio that measures a firm’s use of its total asset base to generate earnings is also used. It is important to note that retained earnings can be easily manipulated distorting the final calculation. The third financial ratio used by the Z score formula is the market value of equity to book value of debt. This is the inverse of the debt to equity ratio, and it shows the amount a firm’s assets can decline in value before liabilities exceed assets. For closely held firms, stockholders’ equity or total assets less total liabilities can be used but this amount has not been statistically verified for purposes of the formula. The sale to total assets ratio that measures a firm’s ability to generate sales with its asset base is also used. The fifth financial ratio is the operating income to total assets. This ratio is the most important factor in the formula because its profit that eventually makes or breaks a firm. In calculating the Z score, each of these ratios is given a weight factor that is used within the formula. (IOMA’s report, 2003). See appendix I for the Z score formula and how to interpret the results obtained. The Z score is used by firms when running regular financial data and firms use it to spot

• Pe = D1/(re – g) = 700 / (0.11 – 0.05) = $11,667 • price per share = $11,667 / 1,000 = $11.67 3. Same facts as (2) above, except the 5% income growth rate (and beginning of year common equity to support it) are only expected for years 2 and 3. Then growth is expected to be zero and all income is expected to be distributed to shareholders for all future years. a. Compute D1, D2, D3, and Dt for all future years. • Keeping in mind that income is $1,100 in year 1, increases by 5% in years 2 and 3, and then remains constant for all future years; and keeping in mind that beginning of year 1 common equity is $8,000, increases by 5% at the beginning of year 2 and at the beginning of year 3, but does not increase at the beginning of year 4 and remains constant from that point forward, you should be able to compute: D1 = $700, D2 = $735, and Dt = 1,212.75 for D3 and all future years. b. Use the dividend discount (i.e., free cash flow to equity investors) valuation model to estimate the company’s current stock price. Pe = 700/(1+ 0.11) + 735/(1+ 0.11)2 + [1,212.75/0.11]/(1+ 0.11)2 = $10,175.31 and the price per share of common stock = $10,175.31 / 1,000 = $10.18. 4. Same facts as (3) above, except the growth rates are 5% for years 2 and 3 and then 3% perpetually for all future years. a. Compute D1, D2, D3 and the growth in D for all future years. • Keeping in mind that income is $1,100 in year 1, increases by 5% in years 2

It is an indicator of managerial capabilities to effectively and efficiently utilize company’s assets (Mathur 2000). It includes analyzing the average collection period,

5. No debt assumption by Adecco, payments made to minority shareholders, and tax benefits due to Adecco US royalties.

We valued the company using four different methods; Net Present Value, Internal Rate of Return, Modified Internal Rate of Return and Profitability Index. We began with the Net Present Value, or NPV, calculation. NPV values an investment’s profitability based on the projected future cash inflows and outflows of the investment, discounted back to present value using the WACC. The calculations for NPV are presented in Appendix 2. We started by separating cash inflows and outflows by each year. We used Bob Prescott’s estimates for the revenue per year and related operating costs of cost of goods sold as

Question 3: How much should TPG be willing to bid? How does this relate to your answers in questions 1 and 2?

ITT’s value has changed a lot over the recent events. Prior to any offer when ITT’s stock was trading at 43 dollars, the stand-alone value of its equity was 16.4 billion dollars. With the 55-dollar offer to ITT, the company’s value went up to approximately 21 billion. After the offer, the stock was trading at $63.50, which gave the total equity a value of 24.2 billion dollars.

I came up with $3.2m by taking the 1st quarter revenue of $718,000 which is historically approximately 22.5% of the yearly revenue.  Assuming this holds true again in 1991, the annual revenue in 1991 will be around $3.2m.  This is a 19% year over year increase in revenue for BLC, which is in line with their year over year growth in 1989, and less than the 34% in the best year, 1990.