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The Mexican Peso Crisis

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The situation that arose in Mexico in 1995 after the devaluation of the peso by 15% sent the currency into a downward spiral over the succeeding months in what became known as the Mexican Peso Crisis. A currency crisis is defined by a sharp and unexpected decrease in the value of the currency. This was precisely the case in Mexico, losing over 60% of its value in less than four months. The drastic nature of the crisis came as a surprise to many because of the unprecedented success of the Mexican economy in the years before. Mexico had curbed its inflation, posted very impressive growth rates, and was reaping the global benefits of the imminent North American Free Trade Agreement. It certainly looked as if this historically unstable …show more content…

The one fundamental difference is the type of capital inflows that enter the country. The USA is a favorable place to invest because of its preeminent position in the global economy. Much of the investment is secure in the country for years to come. In Mexico, the opposite was the case. The inflows were mostly speculative and short term in nature, again increasing the vulnerability of the economy. In this case, capital flight would prove to be a disaster, especially in a fixed exchange rate system (Heath). In terms of exchange rate policies, the government consulted the officials of business and labor and worked out an agreement, known as the Pacto, which could be renewed or changed when deemed necessary. The Pacto was instituted in order to curb the inflation that had reached triple digits in years past. The agreement completely eliminated any flexibility of the peso. The policy helped to lower inflation to 7% in 1994. The stability that the Pacto seemed to offer led to a huge increase in investor confidence because the interest rate was also stable in such a system and the government was in control of the rate. It would be in their best interest to maintain it. This is how the traditionally undervalued peso became overvalued. The exchange rate remained constant in a Mexican economy that had increased import growth and falling

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