3. The exchange reform: The devaluation of the Egyptian pound in February 1991 was an effective factor for cost-push inflation. It increased prices of imported goods and services the household cost of production of goods and services.
To keep away from repetition, we might analyze the effect of wages on inflation in Egypt under the demand pull factors. ERSAP usage does not increase real wages, and consequently wages ought not to be considered as an inflationary component.
According to the author SamerKherfi (1994, November 01) said. The stabilization and structural adjustment program in Egypt has prompted to lower inflation, reduced budget deficit, stable exchange rate, and balance of payments surplus. In this context, the program has
…show more content…
With the increasing trend of issuing treasury bills to finance the budget deficit and to sterilize foreign capital inflow, and with the portfolio shift from foreign currency deposits to LE deposits, and interest payments in domestic debt grew rapidly.
Considering the linkage between budget deficit and inflation the author Omnia A. Helmy(2008, November) said. Budget deficit did matter as a determinant of inflation according to some empirical studies on the nature and causes of inflation in Egypt. At the theoretical level, extensive literature has argued that the inflationary impact of budget deficit relies on upon the effect of the shortage on aggregate demand and the methods by which the deficit is financed. The "budget deficit-inflation" interface displays a two-way communication. That is, not just budget deficit create inflationary weight through its effect on cash totals and public expectations, additionally high inflation then has a criticism impact pushing up the budget deficit. The relationship between budget deficit and inflation is an important and controversial issue in the academic literature as well as in the economic policy field.
According to what the authors Sultan Abou Ali, HalaAbou Ali and Johansen cointegration said they have agreed that budget deficit is an independent factor that affects inflation rates. Also they agreed that inflation rate is much related to GDP
The United States national debt is large. The U.S. Debt-to-GDP ratio has grown to over 60 percent in recent years. We are more than $15 trillion in debt. In this paper I will address the federal budget, the United States debt, and the resulting impacts on society in several sectors.
This paper is about the last 15 years of the federal deficit and the national debt, as well as examination their relationship. This paper also looks at how the deficit is created and dealt with, along with what happens to different areas of the economy when the deficit’s size changes. Lastly this paper covers who owns the national debt, how these people are paid off, and the interest rate of the debt.
Global economy has been changing significantly in past several decades which has been affected by the goods and services in the national borders leading to the movement of the country up and down in the international system economically. The economy of the country is strictly hit by two important factors that are: deflation and inflation. Deflation can be defined as the decrease in the price of the goods or services provided. In the other hand, inflation can be defined as the increase in the price of the goods and services. It is observed that the deflation increases the power of purchasing and increase the value for the money whereas the inflation cause the decrease in the economic power. Inflation plays the vital role for the fluctuation of the economy in the country that directly affects the economy of the world. It actually affects the various macroeconomics and microeconomics factor of the economy leading to various consequences. The most important consequences is unemployment.
When α government spends more thαn the revenue collected from tαx, tαriff, αnd other fee revenues, it must borrow to cover the deficit it fαces which when αccumulαted over the yeαrs becomes the nαtionαl debt. Internαl αnd externαl debts αre the two types of nαtionαl debt. Internαl debt includes the αmount borrowed from sources within the country. The government rαises this money by selling securities, government bonds, αnd bills. While externαl debt is the money borrowed from foreign sources. These sources mαy include privαte sources, other countries, αnd the Internαtionαl Monetαry fund. This pαper will explore the reαsons αnd consequences of the high nαtionαl debt fαced by the United Stαtes of αmericα. Furthermore it will αlso discuss wαys the reαson for this excessive spending cαn be eliminαted or reduced. economists forecαst thαt by 2030 the current αccount deficit would surge up to $5 trillion on αnnuαl bαsis which would constitute up to 15% of the country’s GD. This entire deficit will cumulαtively contribute in further inflαting the level of foreign debt thαt would burden the economy which would imply greαter imposition of bαck-breαking tαxes on the people of the country.
The large U.S. budget deficit had happened to be everyone concerns since “policy debate in Washington has been dominated by warnings about the dangers of budget deficits” (Paul Krugman). Throughout the past years, U.S. had operated under deficit and it means that the amount of government spending is way more pass how much it takes in, so where does all the money go and does the deficit really hurt the U.S. economy? First, we have to understand clearly what is the deficit in term of economic and how is it related to the economy. Laurence J. Kotlikoff stated that the current measure of the deficit, or any measure, is based on arbitrary choices of how to label government receipts and payments.
The President of Bartavia wants to enact expansionary fiscal policy with the intention of manipulating inflation and unemployment. Although Bartavia is nearly employing all of its resources in production and extremely close to full employment level, the President is still concerned about the small percentage that is unemployed. Unemployment is the state of a person without a job or a reliable salary or income. Inflation and unemployment are characteristics that are closely monitored to indicate the economic performance of a country. As the economic advisor to the president, I would strongly advise against implementing this policy. Currently, the economy is not in a recession making the trade-offs associated with economic expansion counter intuitive. In addition, the Phillips Curve demonstrates the inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment, making the need for expansionary action unnecessary right now. Finally, Okun 's Law shows how this policy would effect Bartavia 's GDP via the sacrifice ratio. These three reasons show that the long-run consequences outweigh the short-run benefits of expansionary fiscal policy. Therefore, I implore the President to avoid implementing the expansionary policy.
III) Also with the high inflation rates, there will be currency devaluation. This therefore implies that, although the level of wages will increase, the value of real wages will drop thereby limiting the purchasing power of individuals even though there is much money in
Naturally, during an inflationary period it becomes very difficult for the government to fulfill its macroeconomic targets. Almost all targets, such as GDP growth, price inflation, bank borrowing, trade deficit, budget deficit, become difficult to achieve. This questions the credibility of the government. Costs of development project and non-development expenditure increase, due to which the government needs more funds the following year by the amount of inflation to keep economic activity at the level of the former year.
The president is the former finance minister and his background also includes working as an economist for the World Bank. “The monetary policy is framed against inflation targeting, currently at 3%; the fiscal management is built on a rule which prevents the deficit to go beyond -1% of GDP” (Euler Hermes, 2016). The president has requested and obtained an exception to this rule. If public debt rises, there is an increased risk of inflation. Furthermore, the corruption in the country decline consumer and business confidence. There is also risk of El Nino and weather conditions to the stability of the economy.
The relationship between inflation and unemployment is a topic, which has been debated by economists for decades. It is this debate that has made the opinions about it evolve. In this essay, the controversial topic will be discussed by viewing different economists’ opinions on that according to time sequencing.
Introduction of new goods – since consumer have the variety of goods to buy every dollar becomes more valuable. In reality introduction of new goods causes a decrease of the cost of living, but CPI overstates real changes in the cost of living.
Inflation issues can be managed through both monetary fiscal policies. The issues can be alleviated through both policies because the aims of fiscal and monetary policies
Increased borrowing: As the government is running on fiscal deficit, it will borrow money from the citizens of the country or from the private sector. It will be in the form of long and short term government bonds and treasury bills. To fill the deficit as the government has raised money from outside, the borrowing on the government increases.
Budget deficits is believed to be a leading cause for hyperinflation. Based on 29 cases of hyperinflation studied by Bernholz, he had concluded that 2 of them had been caused by budget deficits. Budget deficits can be linked with the third cause which is increase in money supply. When the government starts printing more paper notes to deal with budget deficits, it leads to inflation which again leads to budgetary deficits thus trapping the country in a vicious circle.
Inflation is blazing subject that delays the economic development of the country. It is becoming extra hectic to economists, politicians and even people also. Factors on both demand and supply effect the inflation. So the stabilization strategies ought to consequently focus on both demand manipulation as well as