401955088265000146685088265000An after-crisis analysis of the effect of protracted low interest rate on Date24-10-2014
Course 4.1 Advanced Finance, Banking & Insurance
LecturerProf. Dr. D. Schoenmaker & Dr. P.J. Wierts
Management SummaryThe lowering of the interest rates by the ECB is meant to achieve and maintain the desired inflation rate of 2%. This is done to ensure price stability in the Eurozone. Then again, doing so affects financial institutions as well, first and foremost banks. Banks in general use these rates in deciding their lending rate, an important part of their business. Deutsche Bank is no exception in this respect as we conclude in this paper. Based on such monetary policy decision-making Deutsche Bank
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In these years the ECB lowered the interest rate. By focusing on these years only we try to isolate the effect of the low interest rate on Deutsche Bank, in order to prevent creating a rippling effect from the preceding financial crisis.
TheoryThe European Central Bank (ECB) has several instruments in order to affect the inflation in the Eurozone. The interest rates at which regional central banks can lend or deposit their money is one of these instruments (De Haan, Oosterloo, & Schoenmaker, 2012). According to De Haan et al. (2012), changes in the central bank’s interest rate may affect the supply of credit through at least four channels, of which the first three are part of the credit channel:
Bank lending channel
Balance sheet channel
Risk-taking channel
Exchange-rate channel
The structure of this report has been built upon the four channels mentioned above. In Accordance with these channels, we have set up hypotheses in order to test our theory-based expectations with the actual proceedings of the Deutsche Bank. Moreover, in order to get a clear view of the current situation and its implications for the future policies of the Deutsche bank and its business model, we analyzed the occurrence of a similar situation. We looked at the Japanese banking industry, which had to deal with low interest rates for more than a decade (Weistroffer, 2013).
Bank Lending ChannelCurrently, the European economy faces a problem of
In England, the party responsible for setting the short-term interest rate is called the Monetary Policy Committee, or MPC. The channels through which the interest rate that the MPC sets affect the economy and affect inflation, are often referred to as the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy. In this essay, which summarizes the paper called “The transmission mechanism of monetary policy”, the Bank of England illustrates the transmission mechanisms that the MPC believes to be true. The paper “The transmission mechanism of monetary policy” is divided into two
This paper is about the financial crisis in 2008 and how it all started as well as the ways that banking has operated and is operating today. I have watched all of Chairman Bernanke’s college lecture videos and he has gone into many different aspects of banking including how the Federal Reserve began, what lead to the recent financial crisis, and what we are doing as a nation to see what we can do to help eliminate from happening again. First, I will be summarizing Chairman Bernanke’s four lectures he did in 2012 at George Washington University.
The recent financial crisis has a huge impact on systemic Important Financial Institutions; it’s distressing effect can be felt in almost every business area and process of a bank. A fairly large literature investigates the impact of financial crisis on large, complex and interconnected banks. The great recession did affect banks in different ways, depending on the funding capability of each bank. Kapan and Minoiu (2013) find that banks that were ex ante more dependent on market funding and had lower structural liquidity reduced supply of credit more than other banks during crisis. The ability of banks to generate interest income during the financial crisis was hampered because there was a vast reduction in bank lending to individuals and
Intervention by the central bank is warranted to avoid welfare loss for the institution’s stakeholders since it may be that due to access to supervisory information, the authorities are in a better position to evaluate the financial position of a bank rather than the inter-bank market. The other situation in which the central bank may be the LOLR is when the stability of the entire financial system may be threatened following the failure of a solvent bank. This widespread financial instability may put to risk the ability of the financial system to carry out its primary functions.
Germany itself is not in direct control of its monetary policy, this is because they are a major constituent of the Eurozone. The European Central Bank, however, is situated in Frankfurt and is based upon the principles of the German Bundesbank. Due to the fact that Germany’s economy is highly important to the Eurozone and European Union, the governing council of the European central bank might work towards what’s good for Germany would be good for the rest of the EU. The European central bank made the decision to lower their key interest rate by 325 basis points, the largest cut ever in such a short period in Europe. In addition to this, the ECB temporarily provided additional liquidity to the banks with immediate liquidity needs, banks were granted access to essentially unlimited liquidity at the ECB’s
Barkley replied that its situation was strong and that it believes that were the other banks the ones that were quoting lower than effective interbank borrowing cost rates (Kregel 2012. p. 2-4).
Global capital markets are being pressured by the travails of Deutsche Bank, one of Europe’s largest investment banks, and there is
The article “Eurozone’s Drop In Inflation Carries More Fears Of Another Recession” from the New York Times, written by Jack Ewing, discussed of how inflation has dropped in the Eurozone to its lowest rate for nearly five years and the threat of Europe falling into deflation leading to another recession. The optimal or ideal inflation rate for Europe is at 2% and with its inflation rate dropping down to almost 0% borderline, more pressure is being added to the Europe Central Bank. Europe must come up with an aggressive plan to revive its weak economy.
This report will analyze this Financial Crisis. Firstly, the reasons for which the banks failed will be discussed and the future of such failing banks will then be analyzed. This report will then examine how to avoid a similar crisis in the future and the current and future legal regulations of the banking system.
The Eurozone appears to be on the mend, propped up in large part due to a continuation of easy monetary policy. A number of concerns remain, including imbalances between the periphery countries and core countries, the competitive gap between Germany and the rest of the Eurozone, continued low inflation, low growth and a very large debt burden. While fiscal austerity and an aging population will keep downward pressure on growth, we think that fiscal stimulus and low interest rates will provide a tailwind to spending and investment.Our mantra remains: “Don’t fight the central banks.”
The measure taken to lower interest rates below zero, constitutes the negative interest rates policy (NIRP) which are been adopted with a price stability objective. In ensuring stability of prices Central Banks aim for low inflation rates. Despite, the aim for low inflation, the rates need to be significantly below but also close to 2 percent. The European Central Bank (ECB) influences inflation by effecting changes on the interest rates. Even so, despite the risk of conflating the nominal lower bound, not going below the zero percentage mark and with inflation remaining relatively low the real rates would then not fall further.
Although New Century Financial business risks involved a great portion of internal mistakes, external factors such as Federal Reserve’s monetary policy played a significant role in deterioration of business opportunities for the New Century Financial Corporation. The baseline interest rates were increased sharply in 2006 from 1.5 % to more than 5 %. Although such a hike in the interest rates had been forecasted and anticipated since2003, the New Century Financial did consider the flagship of tightening monetary policy. The increase in interest rate affected New Century Financial in the way that the company’s assets became riskier and more prone to financial distress. Increased exposure of New Century Financial Corporation’s assets to the risks
Introduction With this assignment, we intend to analyze and compare the performance of two of the biggest European banks during the past 5 years: Santader and Deutshe Bank. We do this taking into account the difference in their activities (such as the impact on commercial banking activities vs traditional retail banking) as well as the markets in which they operate. In the first part of this paper, we will take a brief overview of both banks recent history and current situation, and then proceed to analyze the main differences between both banks balance sheets and income statements for the past 5 years. Finally, we present conclusions about the main differences between these banks, and about the recent performance trends of the two.
In September 2008, thousands of financial sectors all over the world went bankrupt like dominoes after the failure of Lehman Brothers Bank, which is also known as the Financial Crisis of 2008, caused the severe recession of the economies around the world. In order to help the country out of crisis, the central banks in different countries had to take measures to stimulate the growth of economy. The goal of this essay is to introduce the measures that Bank of England have taken in 2008 of financial crisis and will discuss the macroeconomics consequences and effects. Three measures taken by Bank of England will be presented in first section and how macroeconomics outcomes influenced by policies and objectives will be discussed in the second section.
This chapter is about the background of 2007-2008 financial crisis. The 2007-2008 financial crisis has a huge impact on US banking system and how the banks operate and how they are regulated after the financial turmoil. This financial crisis started with difficulty of rolling over asset backed commercial papers in the summer of 2007 due to uncertainty on the liquidity of mortgage backed securities and questions about the soundness of banks and non-bank financial institutes when interest rate continued to go up at a faster pace since 2004. In March 2008 the second wave of liquidity loss occurred after US government decided to bailout Bear Stearns and some commercial banks, then other financial institutions took it as a warning of financial difficulty of their peers. In the meantime banks started hoarding cash and reserve instead of lending out to fellow banks and corporations. The third wave of credit crunch which eventually brought down US financial system and spread over the globe was Lehman Brother’s bankruptcy in August 2008. Many major commercial banks in US held structured products and commercial papers of Lehman Brother, as a result, they suffered a great loss as Lehman Brother went into insolvency. This panic of bank insolvency caused loss of liquidity in both commercial paper market and inter-bank market. Still banks were reluctant to turn to US government or Federal Reserve as this kind of action might indicate delicacy of