2. Should China Revalue the Yuan Against the Dollar? If so, What Impact May This Have on (1) Us Balance of Payments, (2) Chinese Balance of Payments, (3) Relative Competitiveness of Mexico and Thailand, (4) Firms Such

Well it’s not good special for international student, we have to change more in our currency money to be US dollar. When U.S dollars stronger than national currency, import are less expensive. So American people can buy products good and services cheaper. In face it will lead to increase demand for the currency needed to purchase products and imported products because you can buy more products or the product is cheaper and it increase the economies in US. For example, we order clothes from china the same amount of money, we can buy more cloth and we won’t have to spend many money to do it. But for the business local currency becomes weak and down in valve, then the products in US are importing become more expensive. Also increase in the demand on the foreign change market more increases the price of its currency, Other country become demanding more US Dollars in order to pay for these services and commodities. International labor increase more if US dollars more strong so They can change US dollars more money in their countries, Changes in nationwide incomes in foreign countries as well as in the United States. On other hand export less because US dollars strong and other countries decrease demand products from US because US products good is more expensive. Also people buy foreign products rather than domestically produced goods and become to effect to US export. It capacity make business

For the last twenty eight years, China has been quickly growing into one of the largest economies in the world. China has accomplished this feat, in part, by radically changing their policies on trade and free market interactions with other countries. During this process, China has bought approximately one hundred trillion dollars of United States debt in the form of Treasury bills, notes, bonds, and Inflation Protected Securities (Amadeo). This debt has given China leverage against the United States which has enabled China to keep the value of the United States dollar high, while keeping the value of the Chinese yuan low. As the inflation of the dollar continues to negatively affect the

In conclusion, I think that China should change its policy because it is damaging not only the U.S. economy but the economy globally. Countries such as the United States are still recovering from the economic recession we are still leaving in. It is obvious that if China let the Yuan appreciate their exports will decrease and imports will increase making their trade surplus to decrease. If this happens international countries will be grateful because by this happening means that their export will increase and employment will increase. Countries should avoid doing currency manipulation or artificially devaluing their currency because it just hurts the global economy and it promotes other countries to do the same – it hurts everyone.

Although the Yuan is seen as the new alternative there is one more currency lurking and becoming to be seen as a new way to exchange money, and that’s Bitcoin. Bitcoin is an indented source where individuals create accounts to buy accents in order to have credit. That credit is later use for other individuals to purchase goods anywhere in the world without paying fees to any government bank in order to exchange their currency. But is still works about the same way that the Federal Reserve works since it’s money that it’s not back up by any materialize product as gold and silver and instead just faith that the investors will continue to support it. But the Federal Reserve and Bitcoin still are different since Bitcoin is not support by any government nor has any centralize bank running it. This causes mayor impact to the U.S, since companies and countries might no longer have to go and exchange their currency in dollars and may do it straight forward from one currency to another. In time, the dollar would lose value and the U.S economy may change drastically.

A country such as China might choose to peg their currency to the U.S. dollar to keep prices stable for a key trading partner like the U.S. If the U.S. dollar would appreciate considerably against most currencies, this would not affect China trade with the U.S., but Chinese goods would become more expensive to their other trading partners, and could cause Chinese exports to these other markets to decrease.

A country such as China might choose to peg their currency to the U.S. dollar to keep prices stable for a key trading partner like the U.S.  If the U.S. dollar would appreciate considerably against most currencies, this would not affect China trade with the U.S., but Chinese goods would become more expensive to their other trading partners, and could cause Chinese exports to these other markets to decrease.

Third, Chinese currency appreciation makes Chinese products more expensive to developed countries. In 1994, the dollar-to-yuan exchange rate for was 8.7, and 18 years later, the rate has decreased to 6.3, which means Americans have to pay 28% more to buy the same “made in China” products. Furthermore, the regulations and tariffs western countries have imposed on China make export more difficult and costly.

The change in the exchange rate policy to move to a more flexible floating exchange rate system will inevitably compromise China’s current advantageous position in trading especially the export which takes a heavy weight in China’s GDP. The appreciation of RMB will deprive the Chinese enterprises of the advantage to leverage the cheap materials and labor to compete in the international market. This might be a positive indication for China’s importers who has a focus on the domestic markets rather than the international market, where the importers’ purchasing power gets enhanced if the domestic currency appreciate. However, China is still heavily relying on export to grow their GDP at this point and a revaluation of RMB would be very dangerous for the country. Thousands of factories counting on exports might be closed and millions of workers would lose their jobs. As pointed out by Morgan Stanley Economist Andy Xie in the case, “China’s priority is stability and currency flexibility should not be allowed to conflict with this goal”. On the flip side though, a revaluation of the RMB would not necessarily change the current situation of US and EU who had a large trade deficit with China. The reduced imports from China are unlikely to stimulate the growth of the domestic productions of those

monetary policy of devaluing the Yuan and the threat of the Federal Reserve raising interest

Furthermore while China does have motivation to keep the value of the yuan down there are downsides. While China has strict regulations they cannot prevent powerful Multinational Enterprises from moving their business and foreign direct investment they bring elsewhere. More importantly it is estimated that the richest one percent of Chinese households hold $2 -5 trillion in property and liquid assets. If the yuan is devalued too much these wealthy could overwhelm China’s vast foreign exchange reserve. (The Economist, 2012)

It is important to understand the Chinese Yuan 's prediction and impacts since this second world leading economy can influence global economic issues through changes in its currency’s value. In order to forecast the future of Renminbi, it is essential to understand the past and current issues that affect its value. Throughout the essay, the definition of Chinese exchange rate will meant by the value of the Renminbi against the US dollar.There are many factors that could affect the value of the Chinese Yuan, but mostly through the power of the regulatory system. This essay will explain the Chinese monetary and fiscal policies that China has recently used with the description of how these regulations could determine its exchange rate within the short-term. Furthermore, this essay will wrap up with a discussion of ideas and thoughts about the prediction of the Renminbi in the long-run after the exciting news of being included in the reserve currency basket in late 2015.

Secondly, the fixed dollar-pegged exchange rate system and monetary policy, the independence of the existence of a fundamental conflict, undermine the effectiveness of monetary policy cannot meet the needs of economic development. Monetary policy autonomy is essential for China’s macroeconomic stability; monetary policy should take precedence over the independence of significant exchange rate stability. But the Yuan against the U.S. dollar exchange

In recent years, China’s balance of payments always keeps “double favorable balance”. In 2005, China’s national economy developed quickly and stably. The exchange rat of RMB became more flexible. The current account surplus increased obviously and the capital account surplus decreased. The foreign exchange reserve still increased quickly. In 2005, Chinese government did some fiscal policy and monetary policy. Such as decreased government expense, raise the tax rate, used managed floating system, improve the foreign exchange management, enlarged the foreign exchange market. We can conclude that china’s BOP will still keep “double favorable balance” and keep

With China's deepening Opening Up and economic restructure adjustment and the continuous appreciation of RMB in recent years, the

The US and Europe felt that the RMB was undervalued for several reasons. One reason is that China’s exports had dramatically increased, growing 30% from 2004 to 2005, making China the third largest exporter in the world and accounting for