As prices begin to rise in various sectors of the economy, some businesses are continuing to tread lightly. Keeping costs down has assisted the US economy in balancing the control of inflation better than other countries emerging from the global recession, such as China and Europe. But with the US economy still recovering and inflation rates in other nations rising the concern of slipping back into another recession has become a very real issue. Factors such as supply and demand, price elasticity and inflation are all contributing factors to the outcome.
Perhaps one of the most basic, and essential, concepts of economics is supply and demand. The law of supply and demand states that the price of any good adjusts to bring the quantity
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Trade balance is “the ratio of imported and exported goods…the balance is active if the export goods costs exceed the import goods' costs (surplus), otherwise the balance is passive (shortfall)” (Forex, 2011). Globalization has assisted in keeping down the cost of inflation by providing low cost imports from countries such as China by means of low wages. In recent years developing markets have started to become huge consumers of commodities, which is finally putting upward pressure on American prices for many globally traded goods” (Hilsenrath, 2011).
Historically, the United States has been a nation of consumerism. Columnist Anup Shah (2010) asserts that consumption trends in the US follow the 80-20 rule, stating that “the wealthiest 20% of the world accounted for 76.6% of total private consumption”. However, consumerism in the United States doesn’t stop there. Because consumers have become so accustomed to certain norms it can be difficult to determine necessity from commodity. Some items, such as Starbucks, are sometimes put into the same category as necessities, such as gasoline. Economists use the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to measure consumer spending habits and the change in inflation rates. Some have even likened the CPI to “a tug of war between the prices of goods and the prices of services, playing out beneath the surface” (Hilsenrath, 2011).
For years foreign investment has enabled the US to “have their cake and
Although business leaders may not have a crystal ball to help them plan for the future, they do have access to a wide range of Federal Reserve publications that can help identify recent and current trends and what these economists believe will take place in the coming months. Given the lingering effects of the Great Recession of 2008 on the American economy today, identifying the future economic outlook for America using this type of freely available information therefore represents a timely and valuable enterprise. To this end, this paper provides a review of relevant publications to identify the Federal Reserve's current assessment of economic activity and financial markets, its current view about inflation and various monetary tools that have been used to stabilize the economic and prices in recent years. Finally, an analysis of the economic outlook for the next 12- to 18-month period is followed by a summary of the research and important findings in the conclusion.
Supply and demand lies in the heart and soul of economics. The concept is perhaps the single most driving force in an economy, specifically a capitalist economy. Supply and demand is based on two concepts: The law of demand and the law of supply. The law of demand states that the demand of a product rises as its price falls, therefore the demand of a product falls as its price rises. A good example of this occurs in grocery stores. If the price of a case of Coca-cola drops from $6.99 to $2.99 the demand for the product will rise because more people are willing to pay $2.99 rather than $6.99. Not only will typical consumer of Coca-cola purchase more but consumers who are not normally willing to pay $6.99 will make the purchase. Substitution also plays a role in the equation. Substitution occurs when consumers substitute one good for another based on price levels. In the Coca-cola scenario, some Pepsi drinkers will purchase the Coca-cola given the case of Pepsi is price higher.
In the 1970s and 1980s the Canadian economy was plagued by issues of inflation and unemployment, or stagflation, as it came to be known. It is generally believed the “severe years of surging inflation and unemployment were the result of the first (1973-1974) and second oil shocks (1979-1980), and the double digit inflation rates in many countries (though not all) that provoked the sense of crisis in these years were caused by the high price of energy, a major factor input” (LK, 2011). However, it is clear that inflation was already a problem in Canada prior to these oil shocks. What caused the inflation in the 1970s is of some debate; but it most likely resulted from the overly-expansionary monetary policies employed by the Bank of Canada;
It widely recognized that the monetary policy within a country should be primarily concerned with the pursuit of price stability. However, it is still not clear how this objective can be achieved most effectively. This debate remains unsettled, but an increasing number of countries have adopted inflation targeting as their monetary policy framework. (Dr E J van der Merwe, 2002) This topic of Inflation targeting is a subject which immediately conjures different perceptions from different people. Many feel that low inflation should be a main aim of monetary policy, while others (such as trade union activists) believe that a higher growth rate to stimulate jobs should be the main concern.
The market price of a good is determined by both the supply and demand for it. In the world today supply and demand is perhaps one of the most fundamental principles that exists for economics and the backbone of a market economy. Supply is represented by how much the market can offer. The quantity supplied refers to the amount of a certain good that producers are willing to supply for a certain demand price. What determines this interconnection is how much of a good or service is supplied to the market or otherwise known as the supply relationship or supply schedule which is graphically represented by the supply curve. In demand the schedule is depicted graphically as the demand curve which represents the
Why is inflation bad for the American economy? Imagine going into the popular local food market or gas station several times a week. After a couple of weeks, imagine going into these stores and noticing the prices have steadily increased over the past few months. This is called inflation, and it is causing many problems in the United States. There are three different types of inflation: demand-pull, cost-push, and built-in. Demand-pull inflation occurs when prices increased because of such high demand. Cost-push inflation is when prices surge resulting from high input costs. Built-in inflation is when prices continue to rise after any natural causes. The inflation occurring in America is a demand-pull. Inflation has affected the United
Supply and demand regulate the amount of each good produced and the price at which it is sold. It is the conduct of individuals as they work together with one another in aggressive markets. “A market is a group of buyers and sellers of a particular good or service. The buyers, as a group, determine the demand for the product, and the sellers, as a group,
A lot of literatures have already studied about the inflation and inflation prediction and in this paper literature review will be discussed from the theoretical aspect and empirical aspect. The researches of the inflation, which are studied, by a lot of scholars in the field of economics have been conducted for a long time especially during the 1970s and it is the heyday when people would like to pay more attention to research the inflation. The inflation has become a hot topic among the economic life and social life since 1987. However, no matter whether it is in the western economic field or in the Chinese economic field, people have different definitions on the inflation and so far there is no unified opinion and conclusion can be accepted generally by everyone. For example, Wyplosz and Burda (1997), Blanchard (2000), and Barro (1997) define that inflation is a sustained rising in the overall price level of products and services in an economy throughout the time period. By contrast, Zha and Zhong (2016) define that inflation is considerable as the mechanism to improve economic growth. In general, the common definition of the inflation is that the inflation is a continuous rising process in the aspect of price. In other words, the value of the currency decreases continually.
In addition to the law of demand, the law of supply also serves as the second major resource in studying economics. The law of supply states that with other factors remaining constant, as the price rises, the quantity of the product supplied also rises. Conversely, as the price falls, quantity of the product supplied also falls (Colander, 2006, p 97). The law of supply is refers to how producers can effectively substitute the production of one product for another (Colander, 2006, p.
Consumerism is the center of American culture. Americans tend to confuse their wants with their needs. With new advances in technology, as well as the help of advertisers, people are provided with easy access to new products that seem essential to their everyday life, even though they have survived this long without them. People cannot live without food, clothing, and shelter. But realistically, according to people's different lifestyles, more than food, clothing, and shelter are needed. Most people need to work to survive. Unless a job is either in their own home, or within walking distance, a means of transportation is needed. Whether it be a vehicle, money for a taxi-cab, or a token for a ride on the subway, money must be spent
Consumerism is damaging to our society, in our North American society consumerism is often portrayed to be a negative aspect of people’s lives. However, one can also argue positive effects that result from consumerism, or emphasize on the negative effects of consumerism and how it can be a constraining force in one’s own life. Consumerism is an idea of an economic policy that the market is shaped by the choice of the consumer and continues to emerge to shape the world’s mass markets. Some of the negative effects of consumerism that many critics may argue and that will be further emphasized on are the overexploitation of consumerism which has lead to economic poverty, and increase
Inflation is a possible cause of higher unemployment in the medium term if one country experiences a much higher rate of inflation than another, leading to a loss of international competitiveness and a subsequent worsening of their trade performance. If inflation in the UK is persistently above our major trading partners, British exporters may struggle to maintain their share in overseas markets and import penetration into the UK domestic market will grow. Both trends could lead to a worsening balance of payments. The UK government believes that monetary stability (i.e. low inflation) is a precondition for sustained economic expansion. As the chart below demonstrates, the UK has made progress in reducing the volatility of its inflation rate in the last decade. The era of high and volatile inflation may have come to an end.
Earlier I stated that economics is concerned with consumption and production. We can look at it in the terms of demand and supply. It is simply the quantity of a good buyers wish to purchase at each conceivable price. Three factors determine demand:
The Meaning of Inflation There are four macroeconomic policy objectives that a government pursues: high and stable economic growth, low unemployment, low inflation, the avoidance of balance of payments deficits and excessive exchange rate fluctuations. Some of these policy objectives may conflict with each other depending on the priorities of the government. A policy designed to accelerate the rate of economic growth may result in a higher rate of inflation and balance of payment deficit. Throughout the fifties and sixties, rates of inflation were generally low in the advanced industrialised economies.
using a price index measure a change in it. The basket of good has a