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Case Study Of FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Futures

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Background of FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Futures (FKLI)
FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Futures (FKLI) is a capitalisation-weighted stock market index, composed of the 30 largest companies on the Bursa Malaysia by market capitalisation. Bursa Malaysia Derivatives (BMD) offers 3 categories of derivatives which are Commodity Derivatives, Equity Derivatives and Financial Derivatives. In our case study, KLCI May futures contract is under the equity derivatives.
According to Bursa Malaysia, there are some contract specification in FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Futures (FKLI). First, each contract size of FKLI is determined by value of the FKLI futures multiple with RM50. Second, the minimum price fluctuation is with 0.5-index point valued at RM 25. Third, the …show more content…

Currently we are holdings RM3millions to trade futures contract in order to generate larger profits. As a speculators who trades derivatives, we trade at a higher-than-average risk in return for a higher-than-average profit potential. We are taking larger risk, so we are anticipating future price movements, in the hope of making quick and larger gains.
From the fundamental analysis as prediction, we are in the consensus that economy of our country will be affected by the events that going to happen soon. Moreover, from the aspect of technical analysis which included MACD and RSI analysis, there are some signals showed that the KLCI Index will decline at the end of April. There is some news that was found also indicate that the price of KLCI futures contract is going to decrease in the future.
In our case, we are deciding to enter May future contract with short position based on the result of fundamental and signals of technical analysis. As we are holding RM3millions, the total number of contracts that can be traded is 35 based on below calculation:
Number of contract: (Value of portfolio)/(RM50 x index)= Rm3000,000/(RM50 X 1704.5)= …show more content…

According to Channel Newsasia on 24th February 2016 in the report of “Malaysia January inflation rate rises, but rates seen on hold”, and proven again by lately news on 25th Macrch 2016 from The Star online “Higher food prices push February inflation above forecast”, both of the news are expecting the inflation rate of Malaysia will increase in 2016. We are adopting the news as our fundamental analysis to the futures trading to predict the effect of macroeconomic variable which is inflation that could affect the stock price movement in April. As we can read from the news, Malaysia's inflation rate rose at a faster-than-expected pace of 4.2% in Febraury from a year ago following higher food prices and a jump in alcoholic beverages and tobacco. Moreover, the Statistics Department also proposed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February rose by 4.2% to 114.5 compared with 109.9 a year ago. Economists had forecast a 4.1% increase. As we know, CPI is proxy as inflation. CPI is the benchmark inflation and it uses a "basket of goods" approach that aims to compare a consistent base of products from year to year, focusing on products that are bought and used by consumers on a daily basis. The price of your milk, eggs, and daily essential are all captured in the CPI. So, based on our analysis that rely on news that release to the public from January to March, we should alert to the macroeconomic changes that could give a huge impact to KLCI price movement. Basically, the

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