Is Newbridge paying the right price?
What valuation method should it use?
What is the appropriate valuation range?
For the rationality of the price paid by Newbridge, we should focus on the price-to-book multiple, which is 1.6 times here.
To begin with, the valuation of 1.6 times book value seems quite low because of the multiplier of 5.5 times given in Exhibit 13. But obviously, the given multiplier should be inappropriate and exorbitant due to the overall overvaluation of limited listed companies in China’s banking sector. The China’s stock market full of unsophisticated retail investors was highly immature and speculative, compared to the mature markets in developed countries. Supply of tradable shares fell short of demand,
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Thus, their better performance over SDB could still lead to overvaluation if we use the multiplier of 1.6 times here.
And yet Newbridge would get effective control of SDB and, the right to appoint CEO and 8 out of 15 board members through the acquisition of 17.89% stake from state-own sellers. These terms largely increased the value of the deal because Newbridge now could steer SDB in the right direction. But it also had a setback. If SDB had to raise additional capital to meet the requirement of new regulation, the stake Newbridge owned would be inevitably diluted. In the end, despite the poor performance of SDB, the valuation of 1.6 times book value for the deal is still considered appropriate.
As mentioned above, relative valuation method is not reliable to some extent, given the immature market in China. Although we may get an appropriate multiplier to calculate the consideration, we also have to take other many factors into consideration and make adjustments on the initial multiplier. In this case, we think it would be better to apply DCF valuation to get the price. Because SDB was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and thereby their financial position was available to the public. It is possible to get a reliable number by doing a reasonable projection on its future cash flow based on the disclosed data.
Also, according to the Figure 1, we think the multiplier of 1.5-1.6 times is appropriate in calculating the deal price. So the
c. SDI’s officers have been under pressure from the board of directors to do something to improve the price of the common stock. Management is also concerned about the stock price personally because bonuses are based on the performance of SDI’s stock price relative to other firms in its industry. So, they would like a detailed explanation of how the market price is determined—what do investors look for, and what can management do to provide what investors want? Bob Wilkes also wants you to explain how stock valuation information be used to help estimate the company’s cost of equity. Tony Biddle provided some information that can be used in the stock valuation process. First, as background on what investors think about the company, here are some representative quotations taken from analysts’ reports issued during the past few years.
For calculations of the acquisition price, the P/E is taken to be 8.6. The acquisition price is calculated by multiplying this value with the historical average of net income. Thus, the acquisition price comes out to be $186,215,800, which is $189,186,673 less than the enterprise value.
(a) Why did CSX make a two-tiered offer? What effect does this structure have on the transaction?
As a seller of SS to BV or IB, the reservation price for SS should be the minimum price for SS to accept the deal (either the cash deal offered by IB or the stock deal offered by BV). It is known that the minimum reservation prices of SS is the market price ($42.9) for cash deal ((Harvard Business Publishing, 2015). The determination of reservation price for BV needs to incorporate synergies and control benefits as a buyer. As a result, we will choose the highest reservation price using valuation methods and that is, $49.83 with the optimal synergies and WACC method. Though both differed from the average prices in the class, it is reasonable to suspect individuals neglected the cash deal option of IB and contributes to the higher reservation price for SS than my expectation. Also, for the overestimation of reservation price for BV, it is possible that single valuation methodology may trigger biases to lift up the result from its fair value. Hence, a weighted average of all valuation for the price may be more reliable and accurate.
Our estimated cost of capital, 20.81%, is lower than Ricketts’ expected return, 30%-50%, thus the investment is worthy. However, it’s higher than other pessimistic members’ expected return, 10%-15%, making the decision more complex and requiring further valuation。
This represents a 7% increase in stock price. Further, the additional leverage and return of excess cash to shareholders will significantly increase ROE. If the market determines that an 80% debt capital structure is feasible for BBBY, then we will expect further capital gains as investors applaud shareholder friendly policies and re-examine EPS estimates. However, if top line growth and same store sales growth continue to trend downward, investors may become skeptical of BBBY management’s ability to continue generating over 30% EPS growth, and thus question the ability of the company to service its debt in the future.
in our calculations, as this company exhibited dramatic value differences to others in the sample, (likely to skew our results and prove misleading). Using the average of the revised sample field for each ratio, we inserted Torrington’s values where appropriate to generate an entity value. The findings generated two values for Torrington, 606 million and 398 million. Taking the average of these two numbers, Torrington exhibited a relative value of 502.41 million. Because of the lack of related information given in the case, and the often large differences in measures amongst competitors, different capital structures, internal management strategies, there remained many unknowns in our model. We decided it would be best to use this valuation to reaffirm our assumptions in our DCF valuation. (Please see exhibits)
In other words, the price has to be justified and not seem like an arbitrary number. Slaoui and Witty managed to this by emphasizing on Sirtris’ strengths in terms of their research, but particularly in terms of the actual field Sirtris is engaged in, that could potentially be a transformative science allowing for the development of multiple drugs that have the potential of treating diabetes and other diseases that promise a high turnover when launched. In other words, I would make sure that the members of the board are able to see the potential benefits and above all profits of the respective acquisition.
Based on your own analysis, what do you think PacifiCorp was worth on its own before its acquisition by Berkshire?
$18. 30 Day’s high $17.55 trade time Apr 22, 2017, Days low $17.55 trade time change- 1.14% at 52-week high $22.51 the previous close 17.40 and low at 52-weeks $13.06 open at 17.30 the Beta 0.74 The volume was 53.823 Avg.vol 112.122 looking at the above figures the stock they are in a good position. One of their competitors is Amazon. Both companies are star rating the stocks are doing great. Overstock have had a constant and sturdy growth. The online retail giant is a threat to brick-and-mortar stores. Theirs some negative profitability, rising cost and some feel overstock price, put them in a danger zone with the stock market. Overstock up against the competitor such as Amazon, and Wayfair has declined some but not a lot. They have not deteriorated to the point they are in trouble with stock. The profitability of overstock is growing 13% compounded annually from 2002 through 2016; they have lost yet
Most rely on valuation heuristics involving P/E, PEG, and price-to-sales . The simplicity of using heuristic triggers dependence on valuation heuristics as an alternative for the fundamental valuation. P/E, PEG, and price-to-sales need few variables and use simple formulas. Therefore , the estimates are rather perceptive THUS subject to bias. The cause of these biases arise from weak assumption made towards P/E, PEG, and price-to-sales inputs.
5) Consider two mutually exclusive R&D projects that AMD, a chip manufacturer, is considering. Assume the corporate discount rate is 15 per cent and the minimum acceptable IRR is 25 per cent.
As Star River is a private company and has not issued stock, we need to make several assumptions when calculating market value of equity and price of equity. Analysis of similar companies reveals that Wintronics, Inc. and STOR-Max Corp. are the most similar firms in the market. To calculate Star River’s market value of equity I used market to book value method. I found M/B for Wintronics to be 4.4 (market price per share/book value per share) and 3.9 for STOR-Max. an average M/B ratio is 4.15, so multiplying Star River’s book value of equity of 47004 by 4.15 I found Star River’s market value of equity to be SGD195,066.6M. Average beta of these two companies is 1.615. The global equity market premium is 6%, and I use 10 year Singapore T-bond yield of 3.6% as my risk free rate.
How small must the combination of F and X be to make this an attractive deal for B.F. Goodrich?