Chapter 6: Discussion Question #4 (p. 223) 4. Why is it usually easier to forecast sales for seasoned firms in contrast with early-stage ventures? Typically, it is easier to forecast a seasoned firm’s sales to that of an early-stage venture because the seasoned firm will have an operational history. Basing current sales on historical data is easier to do than trying to estimate sales based on little to no historical data to benchmark from. If you are a start-up / early-stage venture and you are tasked with forecasting sales, competitors’ operational histories and past sales data could possibly be used as a helpful reference. However, if you are the first of your kind, it will be especially difficult to predict / forecast sales or …show more content…
[CAPM Estimate of Cost of Equity Capital] Voice River, Inc., has successfully moved through its early life cycle stages and now is well into its rapid-growth stage. However, by traditional standards this provider of media-on-demand services is still considered to be a relatively small venture. The interest rate on long-term U.S. government securities is currently 7 percent. Voice River’s management has observed that, over the long run, the average annual rate of return on small-firm stocks has been 17.3 percent, while the annual returns on long-term U.S. government securities has averaged 5.7 percent. Management views Voice River as being an average small-company venture at its current life cycle stage. A. Determine the historical average annual market risk premium for small-firm common stocks. Avg. Historical MRP = Avg. Historical Return – Avg. Historical risk free rate Avg. Historical MRP = 17.3% - 5.7% = 11.6% B. Use the CAPM to estimate the cost of common equity capital for Voice River. Using CAPM → rf + (MRP x B) C of E = 7.0 + (11.6 X 1.0) C of E = 7.0 + 11.6 C of E = 18.6% Chapter 7: Castillo Mini Case (pp. 264-265) The Castillo Products Company was started in 2008. The company manufactures components for personal
Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., & Jordan, B. D. (Eds.). (2011). Essentials of corporate finance (7th ed., Rev.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Irwin.
We use Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) approach to calculate the cost of equity. The formula of CAPM is re = rf + β × (E[RMkt] – rf).
The current demand forecasting method is based on qualitative techniques more than quantitative ones. If the forecast is not accurate, the company would carry both inventory and stock out costs. It might lose customers due to shortage of supply or carry additional holding costs due to excess production. If the actual demand doesn’t match the forecast ones, and the forecast was too high, this will result in high inventories, obsolescence, asset disposals, and increased carrying costs. When a forecast is too low, the customer resorts to a competitive product or retailer. A supplier could lose both sales and shelf space at that retail location forever if their predictions continue to be inaccurate. The tolerance level of the average consumer
Our estimated cost of capital, 20.81%, is lower than Ricketts’ expected return, 30%-50%, thus the investment is worthy. However, it’s higher than other pessimistic members’ expected return, 10%-15%, making the decision more complex and requiring further valuation。
4. What inventory method is used to value inventories? Does this method reflect current cost at year-end?
* Forecasting is an impartial strategic ingredient that will ensure apt base for reputable planning. Our forecast is always the first step in developing plans in running the business along with our future plans of growth strategies. With this tool, we are able to anticipate our sales within reason that then can allow for us to control our costs in conjunction with inventory which will then help us to enhance our customer service. Sales forecasting is a vital strategic tactic in our company’s methodology.
2. What do the results say about how firms in this industry can deliver strong financial returns in different ways?
Forecasting is the methodology utilized in the translation of past experiences in an estimation of the future. The German market presents challenges for forecasting techniques especially for its retail segment. Commercially oriented organizations are used to help during forecasting as general works done by academic scientists are not easy to come across (Bonner, 2009).
The cofounders of Compass Records, a small, independent music recording company, must decide whether to produce and own the next album of an up-and-coming folk musician, or simply license her finished recording. The case presents information sufficient to build cash flow forecasts for either investment alternative. The task for the students is to build a valuation model for the two capital investment alternatives, whereby they can evaluate the attractiveness of the investment based on net present value (NPV) and the internal rate of return (IRR) of the discounted cash flows (DCF). Further, the student will have the opportunity to interpret those results and to test those measures’
This week’s homework is divided into two parts. First, please answer the 2 questions below. Second, you will develop a trading strategy based on a concept known as “triangular arbitrage.” Below you will find links to four brief videos explaining the concept & how to test for its existence.
FIN 600 – Lecture 3 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter Outline Time Value of Money Valuation: The One-Period Case The Multiperiod Case Compounding Periods Simplifications What Is a Firm Worth? Time Value of Money
The purpose of this report is to perform a comparative analysis of the profitability of two potential equity investments: Auto Wash Bot Ltd. (AWBL) and Popeye’s Muscle Wash Ltd. (PMWL). AWBL is selling 50% ownership for $100,000 in efforts to pursue expansion in the mobile device industry, and PMWL is selling 100% of its business for $100,000 to pursue retirement. A complete analysis of each company’s income statement will report key issues in both firms, as well as offer a
But even this is not possible in case of a new product or innovation. A forecast of sales, demand, cash, requirements and several such business valuables are extremely essential for a business in order to be able to appropriately plan and conduct its operations in an effective and efficient manner. Yet, forecasts cannot be made accurately as there are several factors and changes in the current environment that leads to variations in forecasts and impacts or causes a manager to make changes in the forecasts.
As much as market cap measures to what’s related to the company’s equity value, a firm’s decision based on its capital structure estimates more significantly to how the value of that company is allocated not only for the return on equity but accounting for debt as well. Most economists would refer to capital structure as the mix of a company’s long-term debt, the current portion of it, and of common and preferred stock. Furthermore, large tech-companies today have been taking advantage of capital structure optimizations as it is placed shoulder to shoulder to increasing return on equity thus lowering weighted average costs of capital for long-term investment. In other words, it is how a corporate manager should base his/her decisions on financing the company’s assets and operations through various growth prospects and forecast estimates. We will begin to further evaluate the composition of Google’s capital structure by focusing on the company’s key statistics and research data from the selected top online providers of financial statements, including Google!
A small business with no revenue, no track record and no sales screams high-risk. Luckily, there are other pockets to pick to help your small business get the financing it needs to grow and thrive .In these essay want to explain about other potential sources of financing for Jacqui LLC . And I explain about the advantages and disadvantages of using equity capital and debt capital to finance a small business's growth. And I give for Jacqui Rosshandler to investment offer from Arthur Shorin.