Zack Dudan
Research Paper #1 (Rough Draft)
September 23rd, 2016
Dr. Lee
Causes of the Housing bubble How It Led to the Credit Crisis
In the year 2008, the United States experienced the most serious financial and economic crisis since the Great Depression of 1929. The economy, after peaking in 2006, began to express warning signs of a dooming financial and economic recession. The primary cause of the entire recession was a credit crisis resulting from the burst of the housing bubble. This analysis will be devoted to the study of the housing bubble and its burst. The housing bubble was primarily caused by the low, short-term and variable interest rates, subprime loans given to less than qualified borrowers, and the collapse of big time lenders
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Prices of homes were pretty stable through the 1990’s, only increasing 8.3% according the S&P/Case-Shiller Index. When the stock market crashed in 2001 along with the dotcom bubble and accounting scandals, many people shifted their money from the stock market to the housing market. In the years from 2002 to 2004, the Federal Reserve lowered federal funding interest rates to historic lows, in order to recover from the small recession. The Government has always, since the beginning of the country, encouraged home ownership. In the mid-1990’s, the Community Reinvestment Act was altered to encourage banks to start giving more mortgage loans to lower income households. Also, two large government sponsored enterprises, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, relaxed their income and down payment requirements. In 2004, U.S home ownership peaked out at 70%. Many, many people were taking advantage of the times and were reaping the benefits of the booming economy. Home prices peaked in 2006 and began to fall, but only a few percent. Another minor contributing factor to the competitive low mortgage rates is introduction of the Internet. With this basic background information, it is easier to dive into the …show more content…
The housing bubble was primarily caused by the low, short-term and variable interest rates, subprime loans given to less than qualified borrowers, and the collapse of big time lenders and investors due to failing collateralized debt obligations (CDO’s); all of these were made possible by a sense of “irrational exuberance”, a term coined by Alan Greenspan. There are two implications of the housing bubble burst that have not been touched upon yet. First, Construction is an important economic activity; the decline in the construction would greatly reduce GDP. Secondly, the decreasing home prices would reduce household consumption due to the wealth effect. The housing bubble collapse was the beginning of the 2008 recession, the worst recession since 1929. Not only did it effect the homeowners, but it transpired into the labor market and had a slight tug in the global recession that happened soon
During the early 2000 's, the United States housing market experienced growth at an unprecedented rate, leading to historical highs in home ownership. This surge in home buying was the result of multiple illusory financial circumstances which reduced the apparent risk of both lending and receiving loans. However, in 2007, when the upward trend in home values could no longer continue and began to reverse itself, homeowners found themselves owing more than the value of their properties, a trend which lent itself to increased defaults and foreclosures, further reducing the value of homes in a vicious, self-perpetuating cycle. The 2008 crash of the near-$7-billion housing industry dragged down the entire U.S. economy, and by extension, the global economy, with it, therefore having a large part in triggering the global recession of 2008-2012.
The bursting of the housing bubble, known more colloquially as the 2008 mortgage crisis, was preceded by a series of ill-fated circumstances that culminated in what has been considered to be the worst financial downfall since the Great Depression. After experiencing a near-unprecedented increase in housing prices from January 2002 until mid-2006, a phenomenon that was steadily fed by unregulated mortgage practices, the market steadily declined and the prior housing boom subsided as well. When housing prices dropped to about 25 percent below the peak level achieved in 2006 toward the close of 2008, liquidity and capital disappeared from the market.
The housing crisis of the late 2000s rocked the economy and changed the landscape of the real estate business for years to come. Decades of people purchasing houses unfordable houses and properties with lenient loans policies led to a collective housing bubble. When the banking system faltered and the economy wilted, interest rates were raised, mortgages increased, and people lost their jobs amidst the chaos. This all culminated in tens of thousands of American losing their houses to foreclosures and short sales, as they could no longer afford the mortgage payments on their homes. The United States entered a recession and homeownership no longer appeared to be a feasible goal as many questioned whether the country could continue to support a middle-class. Former home owners became renters and in some cases homeless as the American Dream was delayed with no foreseeable return. While the future of the economy looked bleak, conditions gradually improved. American citizens regained their jobs, the United States government bailed out the banking industry, and regulations were put in place to deter such events as the mortgage crash from ever taking place again. The path to homeowner ship has been forever altered, as loans in general are now more difficult to acquire and can be accompanied by a substantial down payment.
During 1997-2006, house prices rose 85 percent. This led to an irresponsible consumer spending spree. Millions of people bought a house that they could not afford. Government regulatory agencies and mortgage lenders became less strict with credit restrictions so that people could buy homes without making any down payment. In 2007, however, the home values and sales began to decline. Due to the loss of trillions of dollars in home value, a record number of borrowers defaulted on their mortgage payments. America was put into a recession in 2008 because of the contraction of corporate spending and consumer purchased. The prices of consumer goods spiked, while employment declined. On October 3, 2008, former President Bush signed the Troubled Asset Relief Program; however, the bill did not restore the economy as a whole. By June 2009, America's economic recovery was at its weakest since the end of the Second World War. I chose this event in history because it had a major effect on America’s economy and changed the course of history. Historians need to study the Great Recession because America should learn from their mistakes. The Great Recession was due to different factors; however, if the regulations on credit restrictions were not tampered with, then the severity of the recession could have been
Simply put, it all commenced within the United States housing market. In the years leading up to 2008, buying and selling mortgages became a very popular way for lenders to make money. While housing prices continued to increase, lenders found themselves in a win-win situation. If homeowners paid their mortgages, the lenders made money. If homeowners could not pay their mortgages, they would
One of the factors that led to the mortgage crisis was the housing bubble. It started in 2001 and climaxed in 2005. A housing bubble is characterized by rapid increase in the value of real estate properties to an extent that
In the U.S., a housing bubble began to emerge just after the turn of the 21st century. In these years, the economy was in great shape, interest rates were low, and consumers were ready to buy, which drove up real
The housing market had started to decline in 2007, after reaching peak prices in 2006. There was an extremely high amount of subprime mortgages that had been issued in the early 2000’s. Homeowners could no longer afford to live in their homes, payments started going to default, and foreclosures started to rise. According to The Washington Post, there were five contributing factors to the housing market crash: low-doc loans, adjustable- rate mortgages, equity line of credit, more money down than needed, and mortgage insurance.
The real cause of the crisis was not in the housing market but in the misguided monetary policy of the Federal Reserve. While the economy started to downsize in 2008, the Federal Reserve concentrated on solving the housing crisis yet it was just a distraction from the entire thing. By its self, it might have caused a small downfall. As the Federal agency released the financial institutions at a risk from a number of bad mortgages, it disregarded the main cause of a serious crisis (FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of NEW YORK, 2017) A decrease in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) which entails the total value of all commodities and services produced in the United States, was not adjusted for inflation. Such a decline began the unplanned crisis in mid-2008, and once it happened, the damage had already
Problems for home owners with good credit surfaced in mid-2007, causing the U.S.'s largest mortgage lender, Countrywide Financial, to warn that a recovery in the housing sector was not expected to occur at least until 2009 because home prices were falling "almost like never before, with the exception of the Great Depression." Most economists agree that the primary cause of the current recession was the credit crisis arising from the bursting of the housing bubble. Why did the housing bubble occur and why did its bursting cause such a severe and widespread recession?
The following essay will thoroughly examine the severe economic downturn of 2008, formerly known as the housing bubble collapse. We will mainly focus our discussion on the effects the financial crisis had on Canada and the U.S and examine why both countries were affected differently. Although the collapse of the housing bubble is the most identifiable cause, it is extremely difficult to pinpoint one specific defining moment or event triggering the global financial collapse. There are many factors involved, due to the complex nature of the financial systems across the world, and this paper will delve in the key contributing variables that led to this financial crises.
In 2005, the market was flooded with a vast array of homes that were all selling at a low price, and this allowed people to buy and sell homes with minimal effort. Banks were being reckless with their lending, not giving enough attention to who they were giving mortgages to, as virtually anybody with a decent credit score could go to a bank and get a mortgage, sometimes without even going to see if the land and ability for development was there. This created a housing bubble in 2006, and would inevitably come back to hurt a wide range of industries, but few were as damaged as the new construction industry.
The housing market crash, which broke out in the United States in 2007, was caused by high risk subprime mortgages. The subprime mortgage crisis resulted in a sudden reduction in money and credit availability from banks and other lending institutions, which was referred to as a “credit crunch.” The “credit crunch” and its effect spread across the United States and further on to other countries across the world. The “credit crunch” caused a collapse in the housing markets, stock markets and major financial institutions across the globe.
Around 2006 the price of houses began to fall substantially fast. “The oversupply of houses and lack of buyers pushed the house prices down until they really plunged in the late 2006 and early 2007” (The Subprime Mortgage Crisis Explained). These actions threw investors into a big dilemma. In the beginning they believed buying the mortgages would bring them a profit, but quickly realized that the mortgages would cost them more financial damage than reselling the homes. “Nationwide, home vales have declined about 16% since the summer of 2006 and experts project that the drop will continue until homes have lost about 25% of their value” (Biroonak, 2008). In other words mortgage homes are “underwater”, that is, the mortgage owed equals or exceeds the value of the house (Biroonak, 2008). Investors and homeowners started to go more in debt trying to pay off their original debts.
None of these explanations, however, is capable of fully explaining the housing bubble. From 1997 to 2006 nominal U.S. housing prices rose 188%. By mid-2009, however, housing prices had fallen by 33% from peak. As the United States attempts to rebuild its housing finance system, it is of paramount importance to understand what caused the housing bubble. Until we understand how and why the housing bubble occurred, we cannot be certain that a reconstructed housing finance system will not again produce such a devastating bubble. As you can see there are numerous theories and explanations for the bubble. Without getting too deep