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Telstra Total Return

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2.1.1 Return for financial year 2014/15

Total return is obtained by:
Total return = dividend yield + capital gains

the formulas to obtain, dividend yield and capital gains, respectively are as follows:

dividend yield = (interim dividend + final dividend) / initial share price capital gains = (final share price - initial share price) / initial share price

where the initial share prices is the closing value on 1/7/14 and the final share price is the closing value from 30/6/15. Additionally, tax considerations need to be identified and therefore franking credits have been added to the dividends, shown in appendix F.

dividend yield = (interim dividend + final dividend) / initial share price = (0.2142 + 0.2142) …show more content…

Return on market = (final index value - initial index value) / initial index value = (5451.2 - 5366.5) / 5366.5 = 1.58%

As the return on market calculated is smaller than the risk free rate, creating a negative risk premium, this outcome is illogical. This can be expected when calculating return on market as it is based on past values and therefore is an estimate. For the purpose of this assignment, the time horizon for this calculation has been expanded to include the month of july in order to create a sensical risk premium. In making this variance it is noted that reliability has been slightly …show more content…

Return on market = (final index value - initial index value) / initial index value = (5681.7 - 5366.5) / 5366.5 = 5.8735%

2.1.2 Security market line (SML)

To analyse whether Telstra’s stock is correctly valued the capital asset pricing model is used to create a security market line (SML). Refer to Appendix for calculations used to create this graph.

There are three clear points on the SML diagram shown above; government / risk free bonds expected return (0, 2.72), telstra’s expected return on stock (0.41, 4.0115) and the expected market return (1, 1.58). The SML line is created through connecting the risk free return and the expected return, creating the slope equal to market risk premium (3.15).

Government bonds are noticeably the least risky type of investment. This is because these bonds have a fixed return as they are unaffected by what happens in the market (no systematic risk). This is reflected on the SML graph by a beta of zero, representing no systematic risk, and a low return, obtained from the 10 year Australian government bond yields, of

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