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The Competitive Profit Of The Ethanol Industry

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The value of a representative ethanol producer that benefits from both low and high gasoline prices is modeled. Ethanol producers make a modest competitive profit in the mandate-induced region of production. A low price of gasoline increases the demand for blend ethanol and consequently increased the profit of ethanol producers. On the other hand, when gasoline becomes costlier than ethanol, the capacity constraints of the biofuel sector bind and ethanol producers gain large quasi-monopoly margins. This demonstrates an interesting example of a market where two commodities act as complements up to a point and then substitutes after that. We postulate the value of an ethanol producer as a strangle option consisting of two real options: the option

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