Project Free Cash Flows (dollars in thousands) Project number: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Initial investment (2,000) (2,000) (2,000) (2,000) (2,000) (2,000) (2,000) (2,000) Year 1 $ 330 $ 1,666 $ 160 $ 280 $ 2,200 $ 1,200 $ (350) 2 330 334 200 280 900 (60) 3 330 165 350 280 300 60 4 330 395 280 90 350 5 330 432 280 70 700 6 330 440 280 1,200 7 330 442 280 …show more content…
Project4: Year’s PV of CF cumulative 0 -2000 -2000 1 145.45 -1854.55 2 165.28 -1689.27 3 262.90 -1426.37 4 269.79 -1156.58 5 268.23 -888.35 6 248.36 -639.99 7 226.81 -413.18 8 207.12 -206.06 9 189.14 -16.92 10 172.72 155.8 Discounted payback period= 9+ 16.92/172.72= 9.09 years Project5: Year’s PV of CF cumulative 0 -2000 -2000 1 254.54 -1745.46 2 231.40 -1514.06 3 210.36 -1303.7 4 191.24 -1112.46 5 173.85 -938.61 6 158.05 -780.56 7 143.68 -636.88 8 130.62 -506.26 9 118.74 -387.52 10 107.95 -279.57 11 98.13 -181.44 12 89.21 -92.23 13 81.10 -11.13 14 73.73 62.6 Discounted payback period= 13 + 11.13/73.73 =13.15 years Project6: Year’s PV of CF cumulative 0 -2000 -2000 1 2000 0 Discounted payback period= 1 year Project7: Year’s PV of CF cumulative 0 -2000 -2000 1 1090.9 -909.1 2 743.80 -165.3 3 225.39 60.09 Discounted payback period= 2 + 165.3/225.39= 2.7 years Project8: Year’s PV of CF cumulative 0 -2000 -2000 1 -318.18 -2318.18 2 -49.58 -2367.76 3 45.07 -2322.69 4 239.05 -2083.64 5 434.6 -1649.04 6 677.36 -971.68 7 1154.6 182.92 Discounted payback period= 6 + 971.68/1154.6= 6.84 years Rank 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th Project 6 7 8 1 4 5 2 3 Discounted Payback Period 1.00 2.70 6.84 7.84 9.09 13.15
The relatively well posed project with promises of great future pay offs must be examined closely nevertheless to determine its true profitability. As such, the Super Project’s NPV must be calculated, however before we proceed we must acknowledge the relevant cash flows. The project incurred an expense of testing the market. This expense, however, must not be included in our cash flow analysis because it can be considered a sunk cost. This expense is required for ‘taking a temperature’ of the market and will not be recovered. Other sources of cash flow include:
The third scenario was ignoring the option to invest in the second-generation project and selling the equipment in year 2. We evaluated this option as a put option. First, we calculated the probabilities for going up and down based on the assumption of a risk neutral word. As a result, the probability of going upward is calculated as 0.3375 and downward probability is 0.6625. In order to determine the present value of all the sequence cash flow at the end of year 2, we calculated the upside change rate and downside change rate as 64.87% and -39.35%, respectfully. The next step is to analyze the option value by using the “Binomial Tree” method. In order to determine the present value of all the subsequence cash flow at the end of year 2, we calculated the cash flow at each node on the tree, until 2006. We discounted all the cash flow at the risk free rate at 10%. The End of Year NPV of all the subsequence cash flow at Year 2 is calculated as $7,571,752, and the selling price of the equipment at end of 2 is $4,000,000, which is the salvage value. We found the NPV of selling the machine at end of Year 2 to be -$2,951,861 as of Year 0, which is negative. The APV of the project after adding the option turned out to be -$6,321,932. This negative APV suggest that the
Compute the payback period for each of the following two separate investments (round the payback period to two decimals):
In "A Degree is a Risky Investment But You're Still Better Off Going to College, Tim Levin (2016), he argues that all the students should go to a college rather than start a business because it’s the best way to reap the rate of return. However, Levin does not understand that for many low income students, going to a good college is high pressure. At the same time, this can limit their chances at financial success. In Levin's (2016) article, he thinks that students should go to college in order to change their environment especially low-income students, but the decision of whether to attend college is different for those who come from rich families and those who come from low income families. This is because the rich families or the upper
Most people, when they hear the word “crime,” think about street crime or violent crime such as murder, rape, theft, or drugs. However, there is another type of crime that has cost people their life savings, investors’ billions of dollars, and has had significant impacts of multiple lives; it is called white collar crime. The Federal Bureau of Investigation defines white collar crime as
Thus, by year three the company will be making a profit off the investment as year three is 86.73 million profit by 55.35 cost giving the company a 31.38 million dollar surplus. Generally, a period of payback of three year or less is acceptable (Reference Entry) causing this project to be viable based off the payback analysis. Although, these calculations are flawed. The reason for this is because the time value of money is not taken into effect when calculating payback periods which is where IRR can further assist in a more realistic financial picture (Reference Entry).
1. Two commonly used methods of financial analysis are payback and present value. Payback determines the length of time for an investment to return its original cost (1). Using the assumptions stated below the payback of the Jiminy Nick wind turbine with a cost of about $3.3 million would return the investment in about four years time. Net present value summarizes the initial cost of an investment, the estimated annual cash flows, and expected salvage value, taking into account the time value of money (1). A NPV calculation for the scenario SED is reviewing equals $7,697,286 minus the investment costs of $3,318,000 totaling $4,379,286.
We believe that Company I represents the Smaller Producer of printing papers and Company J represents the World’s Largest Market of Paper.
The machine will have a depreciation of $140,000 for the first five years; this is determined by dividing the initial investment by five. The old machine will be sold in 2010 for $25,000 which is below the current book value of $36,000. This is why there is a capital gain of $3,850 that will add to the incremental savings plus the depreciation for that year. The new sheeter will be sold at the end of the last year for $120,000 which will be taxed at 35; this is why a cost of $42,000 appears for the last cash flow (Exhibit 1). The NPV is a positive $1,063,567 and the IRR is 36%, this shows that the project will add value to the company along with having a great return. The payback period for the project is 2.45…Using the growth rate of 3%, the sales are projected to be nearly doubled from 2009 with the new sheeter. However, Pitts believes that he would not be surprised to see them increase by 7% or
Both of these factors cause a decrease in FCF, than in the terminal value, and ultimately in the total discounted present value. Final valuation through the “pessimistic” approach amounts to NPV (FCF) $34.60 million + PV (TV) $37.9 million equaling total PV $72.48 million.
The present value of the net incremental cash flows, totaling $5,740K, is added to the present value of the Capital Cost Allowance (CCA) tax shield, provided by the Plant and Equipment of $599K, to arrive at the project’s NPV of $6,339K. (Please refer to Exhibit 4 and 5 for assumptions and detailed NPV calculations.) This high positive NPV means that the project will add a significant amount of value to FMI. In addition, using the incremental cash flows (excluding CCA) generated by the NPV calculation, we calculated the project’s IRR to be 28%. This means that the project will generate a higher rate of return than the company’s cost of capital of 10.05%. This is also a positive indication that the company should undertake the project.
1. Compute the Free Cash Flows for the years 2010 to 2020 for both projects
In fully investigating all of our calculations we are fully invested in using the Net Present Value figures we calculated as a means of ranking the eight projects. In doing so we found reasons in which why the Net Present Value was our benchmark for ranking the projects and why we did not use the Payback Method. The Payback Method ignores the time value of money, requires and arbitrary cutoff point, ignores cash flows beyond the cutoff date, and is biased against long-term projects, such as research and development and new projects. When comparing the Average Accounting Return Method to the Net Present Value method we found that the Average Accounting Return Method is a worse option than using the Payback Method. The Average Accounting Return Method is not a true rate of return and the time value of money is ignored, it uses an arbitrary benchmark cutoff rate, and is based on accounting net income and book values, not cash flows and market values. Plain and simply put, the Net Present Value method is the best criterion to use when ranking these eight
So the investor will invest 32.58860806% of the investment budget in the risky asset and 67.41139194% in the risk-free asset.
Part 1 : Examine and analyze the financial ratios for eight pairs of unidentified companies and match the description of the company with the financial profile derived from the financial ratios.