It is no surprise that there have been many literatures on the determination of exchange rates given the significant impact that movement in exchange rates have on a world’s political and economic stability as well as the welfare of individual countries. It plays an important role in international investments, company profits and a countries macroeconomic fundamental factor such as unemployment, wages and interest rates among others. This has led to the development of many models and economic theories, one of which is the monetary model. Despite this, economists still cannot agree as to which model best explains movement in exchange rates because the results obtained when testing different models often contradict one another.
Though the research in this paper doesn’t compare different economic models, it does look at the sticky and flexible price monetary model of exchange rate determination and its variables. The paper tests the adequacy of the monetary model – (how good a job the model does in explaining movement in exchange rates). It also shows how GDP, interest rates, money supply and inflation influences the nominal exchange rates for the Eurozone, Japan and the UK against the USD.
The aim of this research is to test if the sticky and flexible price monetary model is valid, which of the variables making up the model has the biggest impact in the movement of exchange rates for the case of the Eurozone, Japan and the UK, and comparing the results obtained to provide
The internet has allowed the money market to operate 24 hours a day. It has been noted however that exchange rate volatility has increased,[v] which makes it more difficult for the government to set monetary policy.
Such a process can be very time consuming and imprecise, without, of course, having a market currency price to begin with. The exchange-rate system is an important topic in international economic policy. Policymakers and journalists often seem to treat the choice of exchange-rate system as one of the most important economic policy choices that a national government makes, on a par with free international trade. Under most circumstances and for most countries, a system of freely floating exchange rates is likely to be a better choice than attempting to peg the exchange rate.
The financial crisis in the early 2000’s has raised questions on the linkage between the monetary policy and the financial markets. This document will analyze the impact of a country’s net balance of payments on the exchange rate of the country’s currency. An analysis of the impact of a country’s net level of interest rates and nominal inflation rate on the country’s exchanged rate will also be reviewed. In addition, a review of the growth in a country’s Gross National Product will be analyzed to determine if there is any relationship to a country’s trade deficits. Finally, a recommendation will be presented on how monetary policies could be employed in the future.
struggled to define the best balance between exchange rate policy and monetary policy for economic
Currency is unreliable. In some countries the United States dollar is worth more than that countries currency, while in other countries the U.S. dollar is worth less. The exchange rate fluctuates on a continuous base which makes the term “funny money” more realistic each day. The purpose of this paper is to discuss hard and soft currency, the South African rand, Cuban pesos, and why the exchange rates fluctuate.
An analysis involving the U.S. dollar-euro (USD-EUR) exchange rate involves an in-depth study on the exchange rate between the two currencies. The U.S. dollar-euro exchange rate in the past was the most analyzed subject studied in global economics. However, any results attempted in studying the dollar-euro exchange rate has not been that successful in the past. This is due to researchers not being able to make a connection between the fundamentals of macroeconomics and exchange rates (Molodtsova, Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, & Papell, 2011). For this purpose, this paper will discuss where the U.S. dollar-euro exchange rate has been in the past, where it is in the present, and where it is expected to be at in the future?
In this paper, I am going to discuss and compare exchange rates. The two types of exchange rates are the Gold Standard and the Floating exchange rate. First, I will describe exchange rates. Second, I will compare the two types in this dissertation. Third, and finally I will give my conjectures and beliefs on which I consider the better system.
The scope of this paper is to approach as best as possible the various reasons for this disparity and try to predict the future of the two currencies based on accurate and up-to-date information. At this point, the authors would like to make clear that they do not
Now looking at several case studies the first being Adrian W. Throop. In his model, he runs four regressions where fluctuations in exchange rate between the dollar and other major currencies are the dependent variables: Trade-Weighted US$, Yen/US$, Mark/US$, and Pound/US$. As for the independent we see the focus on the interest rate change in the domestic and foreign market. He includes a great deal of other information in how he acquires what he calls the real interest rate, and thus account for shocks in the market. This is done to test the hypothesis that sticky price model of exchange rates can explain why this puzzle is occurring with interest rate and exchange rate of foreign currency. Whereas, the null hypothesis is that sticky price model of exchange rates cannot explain why the puzzle is occurring. In conclusion, Throop found that although the sticky model made sense theoretically when put to the test empirically it fell short and was not able to adequately account for the UIP puzzle.
A common currency also minimizes uncertainty about exchange rate fluctuations among member nations. However, as is often the case in economics, there exist tradeoffs that policymakers must recognize. The most notable is that by joining the Eurozone, a nation is relinquishing its abilities to operate their own central bank and easily enact desired monetary policy. Obstfeld warned in 1998 that “nationally asymmetric real shocks” could make transitioning to the Euro difficult for nations (4). Maurer notes that today the EMU has resulted in convergence of nominal interest rates but divergence of real interest rates due to differences in business cycles (5). If business cycles among Eurozone members were to converge however, it might make sense to have a unified central bank and monetary policy. Massmann and Mitchell report that depending on how one measures this convergence, one can get drastically different results (16). These results yield a weak argument that the cycles have converged and suggest centralized monetary policy might be inappropriate at times for some members.
This paper analyzes the facts behind how developed countries are able to achieve strong currencies through the exchange rate mechanisms as well as fiscal and monetary policies to ensure stability of the currency. It shows how the exchange rate is affected through several factors such as inflation rate, interest rate, current account and etcetera.
9. Use the AA-DD model to explain what will happen to an economy if investors (and/or
After careful analysis and further research, the Japanese YEN is an incredibly recent and remarkable example of the way international monetary regimes
In this article, author defines the so-called IS-LM framework aggregate macroeconomic model that has the intuition use to describe money and markets. The author has also focused on the role of IS-LM model and its relation with the interest rate, short-term rates, monetary policy and the unusually expansion of
The relationship between these two macroeconomic variables i.e. stock prices and exchange rates has attracted the minds of economists since they both are very important determinants of the development of a country’s economy. Volatility in exchange rate is a major cause of macroeconomic ambiguity that affects firms. After the 1970’s, the High rise in international trade and implementation of floating exchange rate establishment by many countries led to increase exchange rate volatility. Pakistani currency Rupee was linked with the British Pound Sterling before 1970s. In 1971, Pakistan linked its currency to the U.S. Dollar due to apparent economic development of USA. During the past ten years, Pakistan's foreign exchange system has been moving towards a floated and market-oriented direction. Now, Pakistan is maintaining a floating exchange rate with government-managed to some extent. Firm’s exposure to exchange rate risk increased due to under these circumstances.