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Using Csx's Failure To Deregulate The Transportation Industry

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The railway industry has been a major player in the transportation industry since the 1850s. During the 1870s the industry experienced a lot of consolidation as companies made acquisitions in an attempt to lower costs. Fast forward to the 1940s, trucking became a much cheaper alternative to railways and the industry started seeing declining profits. Many companies tried to mitigate the declining profits by closing unprofitable routes, merge with other railroads, and lower costs. However, these efforts were stopped by U.S. regulators. It wasn’t until 1980 that Congress passed the Stagger’s Rail Act which highly deregulated the industry. This allowed for railroads to dramatically lower costs and pursue more mergers. The largest suggested merger …show more content…

Before the passage of the Staggers Rail Act, railroads were unable to change their price to compete with alternatives like trucking. This caused many of the firms to become very unprofitable in the 1960s and 1970s. With the wave of deregulation, firms were now able to compete on price not only with other alternatives, but with other railroads. However, without a clear industry leader in the Eastern rail freight market, no firm had real pricing power. Conrail controlled 29.4% of the Eastern market, CSX controlled 38.5%, and Norfolk Southern controlled 32.1%. A Conrail-CSX merger would give the combined company a 67.9% control of the Eastern market. Furthermore, Conrail already had a near monopoly of the Northeastern market, one of the most lucrative markets. This control over the Eastern market allows CSX to have more power in setting the price for the East/Northeast …show more content…

In Table 1 these assumptions are used to find the present value of the additional cash flows as well as the present value of the tax shield. From this merger approximately $36.24 would be added in value per share this results in a value of $107.24 per share. We recommend that CSX does not offer more than $95 per share. This will ensure that CSX does not overpay for the acquisition and will create a positive NPV even if they do not realize all of the potential synergies. In recent acquisitions, the average offer price was 16.175X the earnings per share “EPS.” Using this multiple and Conrail’s 1995 EPS, an offer price of $75.86 is produced. CSX’s blended offer of $89.07 produces a multiple of nearly 19X the EPS and using our recommended max of $95 produces a 20.26X EPS. These are both higher than the average but do not exceed the acquisition price of Santa Fe Pacific by Burlington Northern that was priced at 21.4X EPS. This slightly higher price could be justified by CSX with the unique competitive edge the combined companies would produce in the Eastern

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