1.) An Airport manager faced a forecasting problem. He needs a model to forecast one month ahead in order to schedule part-time employment for airport services such as parkings, baggage handling and security. Given one year historical data below, find out the best way to measure forecast accuracy at constant level as well as the number of passengers embarking one month ahead using Benchmark, Moving average and Simple smoothing models. Assumed alpha(o)=0.1 TIME DATA 27 26 3 32 4 24 5 33 6 32 34 29 32 34 26 28 8 9 10 11 12 IIIIIIII

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1.) An Airport manager faced a forecasting problem. He needs a model to forecast one
month ahead in order to schedule part-time employment for airport services such as
parkings, baggage handling and security. Given one year historical data below, find out
the best way to measure forecast accuracy at constant level as well as the number of
passengers embarking one month ahead using Benchmark, Moving average and Simple
smoothing models. Assumed alpha(o)=0.1
TIME
DATA
1
27
2
26
3
32
4
24
5
33
6
32
7
34
8
29
9
32
34
26
28
10
11
12
|||||||
Transcribed Image Text:1.) An Airport manager faced a forecasting problem. He needs a model to forecast one month ahead in order to schedule part-time employment for airport services such as parkings, baggage handling and security. Given one year historical data below, find out the best way to measure forecast accuracy at constant level as well as the number of passengers embarking one month ahead using Benchmark, Moving average and Simple smoothing models. Assumed alpha(o)=0.1 TIME DATA 1 27 2 26 3 32 4 24 5 33 6 32 7 34 8 29 9 32 34 26 28 10 11 12 |||||||
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