1. Let (X) be a simple random walk that starts from X, = 0 and on each step goes up one with probability p and down one with probability q = 1 – p. %3D Calculate: (a) P(X, = 0), (b) EX (c) Var(X6),

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1. Let (X) be a simple random walk that starts from Xo = 0 and on each step goes up one with
%3D
probability p and down one with probability q = 1 – p.
Calculate:
(a) P(X, = 0),
(b) EX.,
(c) Var(X6),
(d) E(X10 | X4 = 4).
(e) P(X19 = 0 | Xg = 2),
(f) P(X, = 2| X 10 = 6).
Consider the case p = 0.6, so q = 0.4.
(g) What are EX100
and Var(X100)?
(h) Using a normal approximation, estimate P(16 S X100 S 26). You should use an appropriate
"continuity correction", and explain why you chose it. (Bear in mind the possible values X00 can
take.)
Transcribed Image Text:1. Let (X) be a simple random walk that starts from Xo = 0 and on each step goes up one with %3D probability p and down one with probability q = 1 – p. Calculate: (a) P(X, = 0), (b) EX., (c) Var(X6), (d) E(X10 | X4 = 4). (e) P(X19 = 0 | Xg = 2), (f) P(X, = 2| X 10 = 6). Consider the case p = 0.6, so q = 0.4. (g) What are EX100 and Var(X100)? (h) Using a normal approximation, estimate P(16 S X100 S 26). You should use an appropriate "continuity correction", and explain why you chose it. (Bear in mind the possible values X00 can take.)
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