19. You are given the following payoff table with profits (in $). Decision States of Nature Alternative s1 s2 di 1000 3000 d2 4000 500 Assume the following probability information is given, where Iı and I2are the outcomes of the sample information available: P(s1) = 0.45; P(Iı | s1) = 0.7; P(I2 | s1) = 0.3 P(s2) = 0.55; P(lh | s2) = 0.6; P(I2 | s2) = 0.4 (a) [2] Find the values of P(I1) and P(I2). (b) [2] Determine the values of P(s1 | I1), P(s2 I I1), P(s1 | I2), and P(s2 | I2). (c) [4] Determine the optimal strategy based on the sample information I and 2. What is the expected value of your solution?

College Algebra
7th Edition
ISBN:9781305115545
Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Publisher:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Chapter9: Counting And Probability
Section9.3: Binomial Probability
Problem 2E: If a binomial experiment has probability p success, then the probability of failure is...
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19. You are given the following payoff table with profits (in $).
Decision
States of Nature
Alternative
s1
s2
di
1000
3000
d2
4000
500
Assume the following probability information is given, where Iı and I2are the
outcomes of the sample information available:
P(s1) = 0.45;
P(Iı | s1) = 0.7;
P(I2 | s1) = 0.3
P(s2) = 0.55;
P(lh | s2) = 0.6;
P(I2 | s2) = 0.4
(a) [2] Find the values of P(I1) and P(I2).
(b) [2] Determine the values of P(s1 | I1), P(s2 I I1), P(s1 | I2), and P(s2 | I2).
(c) [4] Determine the optimal strategy based on the sample information I and 2.
What is the expected value of your solution?
Transcribed Image Text:19. You are given the following payoff table with profits (in $). Decision States of Nature Alternative s1 s2 di 1000 3000 d2 4000 500 Assume the following probability information is given, where Iı and I2are the outcomes of the sample information available: P(s1) = 0.45; P(Iı | s1) = 0.7; P(I2 | s1) = 0.3 P(s2) = 0.55; P(lh | s2) = 0.6; P(I2 | s2) = 0.4 (a) [2] Find the values of P(I1) and P(I2). (b) [2] Determine the values of P(s1 | I1), P(s2 I I1), P(s1 | I2), and P(s2 | I2). (c) [4] Determine the optimal strategy based on the sample information I and 2. What is the expected value of your solution?
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