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- Suppose that X k is a time-homogenous Markov chain. Show thatP{X3= j3, X2= j2|X0= j0,X1 = j1}= P{X3 = j3 | X2 = j2} P{X2 = j2|X1 = j1}.Suppose that X0, X1, X2, ... form a Markov chain on the state space {1, 2}. Assume that P(X0 = 1) = P(X0 = 2) = 1/2 and that the matrix of transition probabilities for the chain has the following entries: Q11 = 1/2, Q12 = 1/2, Q21 = 1/3, Q22 = 2/3. Find limn→∞ P(Xn = 1).If Kt = B2t - t, where B is standard Brownian Motion, show that Kt is a martingale, and a markov process
- Change Ax = b to x = (I -A)x + b. What are Sand T for this splitting? What matrix s-1y controls the convergence of Xk+l = (I -A)xk + b?At any given time, a subatomic particle can be in one of two states, and it moves randomly from one state to another when it is excited. If it is state 1 on one observation, then it is 3 times as likely to be in state 1 as state 2 on the next observation. Likewise, if it is in state 2 on one observation, then it is 3 as likely to be in the state 2 as state 1 on the next observation. (a) If the particle is in state 1 on the fourth observation, what is the probability that it will be in state 2 on the sixth observation and state 1 on the seventh observation?1 Suppose that X is a stochastic process with dynamics dXt = µdt +σdWt , where W is a P-Brownian motion. The drift µ and the volatility σ are both constants. Find if there is a measure Q such that the drift of process X under Q is η(∈ R) instead of µ.
- B) Let dP/dt =.5P - 50. Find the equilibrium solution for P. Furthermore, determine whether P is intially increasing faster if the initial population is 120 or 200.Consider the following Gauss/Jordan reaction:Which of the following processes (Xt)t is weakly stationary? A: Xt = 1:6 + Xt 1 + V tB: Xt = 0:6 Xt-1 +V tC: Xt = 0:8 Xt-1 + V tD: Xt = 0:8 t + 0:6 V t – 1 The term (t) is always assumed to be white noise with variance one
- 36. Over the last three years, a portfolio manager investing in large cap stocks had an average return of 25% when the small cap benchmark he selected returned 19.5%. Is the performance consistent with efficient market hypothesis? a. No, it is not. It is a violation of weak form EMH. b. No, it is not. It is a violation of semi-strong form EMH. c. No, it is not. It is a violation of strong form EMH. d. No, it is not. It is a violation of all forms of EMH. e. Yes, it could be. The manager selected an inappropriate benchmark.Theorem 6.4 states that the moment-generating function of the gamma distribution is given by Mx(t) = (1-βt)^(-α).A manufacturing company employs two devices to inspect output for quality control purposes. The first device is able to accurately detect 99.3% of the defective items it receives, whereas the second is able to do so in 99.7% of the cases. Assume that four defective items are produced and sent out for inspection. Let X and Y denote the number of items that will be identified as defective by inspecting devices 1 and 2, respectively. Assume that the devices are independent. Determine fxy(X=3,Y=4).