3. Consider the linear probability model Y₁ = Bo+B₁Xi+ui, where Pr(Y₁ = 1|Xi) = Bo +3₁ Xi. (a) Show that E(u₂|X₂) = 0. (b) Show that Var(u₁|X;) = (Bo + B₁X;)[1 − (Bo + B₁X;)]. (c) Is ui conditionally heteroskedastic? Is u heteroskedastic? (d) Derive the likelihood function.
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- why is the covariance of a deterministic and a stochastic process 0? This relats to Arithmetic Bronian MotionSuppose two forces Red and Blue, with Red having a starting force = 2, and Blue having a starting force = 1. Engage in a stochastic Lanchester battle assuming square law, in a fight-to-the-finish, with Red a = 0.01 casualties per minute, and Blue b = 0.03 casualties per minute. (a) What is the expected time of the first casualty?(b) What is the probability that there are no casualties in the first 20 minutes?(c) What is the expected number of Red survivors and the expected length of the battle?1. Define a Stochastic process and briefly discuss the meaning of measurability of a stochastic process. 2. Consider the ARMA(1,1) model yt = 0.8yt-1 + et + 0.5et-1 with et ~ WN(0, σe2). Derive the Wold representation of yt. 3. Consider the ARMA(2,1) process Φ(L)Xt = Θ(L)et with Φ(L) = 1 − 1.3L + 0.4L2 , Θ(L) = 1 + 0.4L and et ∼ WN(0, σe2). Obtain its Wold representation. 4.Consider the ARMA(2,2) process given by Xt =0.4Xt−1+0.45Xt−2+et+et−1+0.25et−2 with et ∼WN(0,σe2). 5. Consider the MA(1) process yt = et+1.5et−1 with et ∼ WN(0,σe2). Is the above MA(1) a Wold representation? Why or Why not? If not, obtain a suitable Wold representation.
- A cellphone provider classifies its customers as low users (less than 400 minutes per month) or high users (400 or more minutes per month). Studies have shown that 80% of people who were low users one month will be low users the next month, and that 70% of the people who were high users one month will high users next month. a. Set up a 2x2 stochastic matrix with columns and rows labeled L and H that displays these transitions b. Suppose that during the month of January, 50% of the customers are low users. What percent of customers will be low users in February? In March?Show that if X is not a deterministic random variable, then H(X) is strictly positive. What happens to the probabilities if a random variable is non-deterministic?1- The number of items produced in a factory during a week is known to be a randomvariable with mean 50● Using Markov's inequality, what can you say about the probability that this week'sproduction exceeds 75?● If the variance of one week's production is equal to 25, then using Chebyshev'sinequality, what can be said about the probability that this week's production isbetween 40 and 60?
- If X is exponentially distributed with parameter λ and Y is uniformly distributed on the interval [a, b], what is the moment generating function of X + 2Y ?Consider the linear model Yi = B0 + B1X1i + B2X2i + ui where ui is the error term and where E(ui|X1i,X2i) = 0, observations (Yi,X1i,X2i) are independent and identically distributed, 0 < E(Y4) < 1, 0 < 1i E(X14i) < 1, 0 < E(X24i) < 1 and where X2i = X12i. Are the OLS estimators Bˆ1 and Bˆ2 of the coe¢cients B1 and B2 unbiased and consistent? Explain.Consider a simple model of the hunting behaviour of a fox. In a single day, the fox catches either 0 or 1 rabbits, with probabilities 0.3 and 0.7, respectively. The outcome of hunting on day m is independent of all other days.We describe this system through a discrete-time, discrete-state stochastic process R(m), where R is the total number of rabbits caught between the end of day 0 (defining a starting point of our observation) and the end of day m. m = 0,1,2,3... is thus a discrete time parameter, and R(0) = 0 by definition (a) It can be shown that pr(m) – the probability of catching R = r rabbits in m days – is given by a binomial distribution (see Appendix A.2.1). Here, m is the number of “trials”, r the number of successes and q = 0.7 the probability of success. Hence give expressions for:i The mean number of rabbits caught after m days. ii The standard deviation of the total number rabbits caught after m days. iii The standard deviation of the mean number of rabbits caught per day…
- f X1,X2,...,Xn constitute a random sample of size n from a geometric population, show that Y = X1 + X2 + ···+ Xn is a sufficient estimator of the parameter θ.Which of the following processes (Xt)t is weakly stationary? A: Xt = 1:6 + Xt 1 + V tB: Xt = 0:6 Xt-1 +V tC: Xt = 0:8 Xt-1 + V tD: Xt = 0:8 t + 0:6 V t – 1 The term (t) is always assumed to be white noise with variance oneConsider the geometric Brownian motion with σ = 1: dS = μSdt + SdX, and consider the function F(S) = A + BSα. Find any necessary conditions on A, B, and α such that the function F(S) follows a stochastic process with no drift.