7. A sequence of binary digits (0's and 1's) representing the outcome of a se- quence of fair coin tosses ("Heads" and "Tails", respectively) is sent through a noisy communications channel, in which digits are received as sent only 95% of the time. In order to improve reliability, each digit in a message is sent three times. For instance, the sequence 1001... would be sent as 111000000111... through the channel (but might be received as, e.g., 111010110101...). Sup- pose that the first 3 digits received are 111. Show that, given this, the first toss was indeed "Tails" with conditional probability 99.99%.

Algebra and Trigonometry (MindTap Course List)
4th Edition
ISBN:9781305071742
Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Publisher:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Chapter14: Counting And Probability
Section14.CT: Chapter Test
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7. A sequence of binary digits (0's and 1's) representing the outcome of a se-
quence of fair coin tosses ("Heads" and "Tails", respectively) is sent through a
noisy communications channel, in which digits are received as sent only 95%
of the time. In order to improve reliability, each digit in a message is sent three
times. For instance, the sequence 1001... would be sent as 111000000111...
through the channel (but might be received as, e.g., 111010110101...). Sup-
pose that the first 3 digits received are 111. Show that, given this, the first
toss was indeed "Tails" with conditional probability 99.99%.
Transcribed Image Text:7. A sequence of binary digits (0's and 1's) representing the outcome of a se- quence of fair coin tosses ("Heads" and "Tails", respectively) is sent through a noisy communications channel, in which digits are received as sent only 95% of the time. In order to improve reliability, each digit in a message is sent three times. For instance, the sequence 1001... would be sent as 111000000111... through the channel (but might be received as, e.g., 111010110101...). Sup- pose that the first 3 digits received are 111. Show that, given this, the first toss was indeed "Tails" with conditional probability 99.99%.
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