A lie detector is known to be 70% reliable when the person is guilty and 95% reliable when the person is innocent. If a suspect is chosen from a group of suspects of which only 2% have ever committed a crime, and the test indicates that the person is guilty, what is the probability that he is innocent? a. 2/3 b. 3/5 c. 7/9 d. 8/9

College Algebra
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ISBN:9781337282291
Author:Ron Larson
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Chapter8: Sequences, Series,and Probability
Section8.7: Probability
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A lie detector is known to be 70% reliable when the person is guilty and 95% reliable when the person is innocent. If a suspect is chosen from a group of suspects of which only 2% have ever committed a crime, and the test indicates that the person is guilty, what is the probability that he is innocent?

 

a.
2/3


b.
3/5


c.
7/9


d.
8/9

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