A mining company brings up a land purchase project for 61,000 TL. in order to extract coal. The annual net income of the coal mine is estimated at TL 20,000. At the end of the 10-year useful life, the company is obliged to spend 150.000 TL to make the land suitable for agriculture. Is the project suitable since the annual interest rate is i=10%? Solve according to NBD analysis.
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- It costs a pharmaceutical company 75,000 to produce a 1000-pound batch of a drug. The average yield from a batch is unknown but the best case is 90% yield (that is, 900 pounds of good drug will be produced), the most likely case is 85% yield, and the worst case is 70% yield. The annual demand for the drug is unknown, with the best case being 20,000 pounds, the most likely case 17,500 pounds, and the worst case 10,000 pounds. The drug sells for 125 per pound and leftover amounts of the drug can be sold for 30 per pound. To maximize annual expected profit, how many batches of the drug should the company produce? You can assume that it will produce the batches only once, before demand for the drug is known.The Tinkan Company produces one-pound cans for the Canadian salmon industry. Each year the salmon spawn during a 24-hour period and must be canned immediately. Tinkan has the following agreement with the salmon industry. The company can deliver as many cans as it chooses. Then the salmon are caught. For each can by which Tinkan falls short of the salmon industrys needs, the company pays the industry a 2 penalty. Cans cost Tinkan 1 to produce and are sold by Tinkan for 2 per can. If any cans are left over, they are returned to Tinkan and the company reimburses the industry 2 for each extra can. These extra cans are put in storage for next year. Each year a can is held in storage, a carrying cost equal to 20% of the cans production cost is incurred. It is well known that the number of salmon harvested during a year is strongly related to the number of salmon harvested the previous year. In fact, using past data, Tinkan estimates that the harvest size in year t, Ht (measured in the number of cans required), is related to the harvest size in the previous year, Ht1, by the equation Ht = Ht1et where et is normally distributed with mean 1.02 and standard deviation 0.10. Tinkan plans to use the following production strategy. For some value of x, it produces enough cans at the beginning of year t to bring its inventory up to x+Ht, where Ht is the predicted harvest size in year t. Then it delivers these cans to the salmon industry. For example, if it uses x = 100,000, the predicted harvest size is 500,000 cans, and 80,000 cans are already in inventory, then Tinkan produces and delivers 520,000 cans. Given that the harvest size for the previous year was 550,000 cans, use simulation to help Tinkan develop a production strategy that maximizes its expected profit over the next 20 years. Assume that the company begins year 1 with an initial inventory of 300,000 cans.Assume the demand for a companys drug Wozac during the current year is 50,000, and assume demand will grow at 5% a year. If the company builds a plant that can produce x units of Wozac per year, it will cost 16x. Each unit of Wozac is sold for 3. Each unit of Wozac produced incurs a variable production cost of 0.20. It costs 0.40 per year to operate a unit of capacity. Determine how large a Wozac plant the company should build to maximize its expected profit over the next 10 years.
- You now have 10,000, all of which is invested in a sports team. Each year there is a 60% chance that the value of the team will increase by 60% and a 40% chance that the value of the team will decrease by 60%. Estimate the mean and median value of your investment after 50 years. Explain the large difference between the estimated mean and median.W. L. Brown, a direct marketer of womens clothing, must determine how many telephone operators to schedule during each part of the day. W. L. Brown estimates that the number of phone calls received each hour of a typical eight-hour shift can be described by the probability distribution in the file P10_33.xlsx. Each operator can handle 15 calls per hour and costs the company 20 per hour. Each phone call that is not handled is assumed to cost the company 6 in lost profit. Considering the options of employing 6, 8, 10, 12, 14, or 16 operators, use simulation to determine the number of operators that minimizes the expected hourly cost (labor costs plus lost profits).The CEO of Lucky Petroleum Co. has been considering to open a new gasoline statioin. He must decide how large the station should be. The annual returns (IDR billions) will depend on both the size of the station and market factor. After a careful analysis he developed the following table: Size of Station Good Market Fair Market Poor Market Small 50 20 -10 Medium 70 30 -20 Large 100 50 -30 Probability 0.5 0.3 0.2 Compute the expected value of each alternative size of station, and select the best decision. Construct the opportunity loss table and determine the best decision. Compute the expected value of perfect information.
- Condo Construction Company is going to First NationalBank for a loan. At the present time, the bank is willing to lendCondo up to $1 million, with interest costs of 10%. Condobelieves that the amount of borrowed funds needed during thecurrent year is normally distributed, with a mean of $700,000and a standard deviation of $300,000. If Condo needs to borrowmore money during the year, the company will have to go toLouie the Loan Shark. The cost per dollar borrowed fromLouie is 25¢. To minimize expected interest costs for the year,how much money should Condo borrow from the bank?Perdaris Enterprises had an expenditure rate of E′(x) = e0.1x dollars per day and an income rate of I′(x) = 98.8 - e0.1x dollars per day on a particular job, where x was the number of days from the start of the job. The company’s profit on that job will equal total income less total expenditures. Profit will be maximized if the job ends at the optimum time, which is the point where the two curves meet. Find the following.(a) The optimum number of days for the job to last(b) The total income for the optimum number of days(c) The total expenditures for the optimum number of days(d) The maximum profit for the jobNewell and Jeff are the two barbers in a barber shop they own and operate. They provide two chairs forcustomers who are waiting to begin a haircut, so the number of customers in the shop varies between 0 and 4.For n = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, the probability Pn that exactly n customers are in the shop. A. Calculate L . How would you describe the meaning of L to Newell and Jeff?B. For each of the possible values of the number of customers in the queueing system, specify howmany customers are in the queue. Then calculate Lq . How would you describe the meaning of Lq to Newelland Jeff? C.Determine the expected number of customers being served. D. Given that an average of 4 customers per hour arrive and stay to receive a haircut, determine W andWq . Describe these two quantities in terms meaningful to Newell and Jeff. E. Given that Newell and Jeff are equally fast in giving haircuts, what is the average duration of ahaircut?
- Eades Corp. has 9% annual coupon bonds that are callable and have 18 years left until maturity. The bonds have a par value of $1,000, and their current market price is $980.35. However, Eades Corp. may call the bonds in eight years at a call price of $1,060. What are the YTM and the yield to call (YTC) on Eades Corp.’s bonds? Value YTM ? YTC ?Michelle owns a house in which she keeps valuables worth 100,000 which can get stolen with probability 1%. She can purchase coverage C of the amount C ∈ [0; 100,000] at premium π = 0.05 dollars for each dollar covered. Her Bernouilli utility function is u(w) = ln(w). Assume she has no other assets. 1. Set up her maximization problem. 2. How much insurance will she choose to buy? 3. How much profits does the insurance company earn on insuring Michelle? 4. Does the fact that the insurance company earn profits mean that Michelle is worse off com-pared to the situation in which she is not insured? Explain what is happening. 5. How much insurance will she buy if insurance companies charge an actuarially fair insurance rate?Eunice, in The scenario, wants to determine how each of the 3 companies will decide onpossible new investments. He was able to determine the new investment pay off for eachof the three choices as well as the probability of the two types of market. If a company willlaunch product 1, it will gain 125,000 if the market is successful and lose 125,000 if themarket is a failure. If a company will launch product 2, it will gain 75,000 if the market issuccessful and lose 75,000 if the market will fail. If a company decides not to launch anyof the product, it will not be affected whether the market will succeed or fail. There is a53% probability that the market will succeed and 47% probability that the market will fail.What will be the companies decision based on EMV? What is the decision of eachcompany based on expected utility value?