A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report either a favorable (F) or unfavorable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows: What is the probability that the market research report will be favorable?

Algebra & Trigonometry with Analytic Geometry
13th Edition
ISBN:9781133382119
Author:Swokowski
Publisher:Swokowski
Chapter1: Fundamental Concepts Of Algebra
Section1.3: Algebraic Expressions
Problem 20E
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The XY Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture acomponent part at its plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in ten thousand of pesos):

  State of Nature State of Nature State of Nature
Decision Alternative Low Demand
S_(1)
Medium Demand
S_(2)
High Demand
S_(3)
Manufacture, d_(1) -100 200 500
Purchase, d_(2) 50 225 350

The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3
) = 0.30.

c. A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report
either a favorable (F) or unfavorable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows:
What is the probability that the market research report will be favorable?

SA
P(F|s₁) = 0.10
P(F|$₂) = 0.40
P(F|53) = 0.60
P(U|s₁) = 0.90
P(U|$₂) = 0.60
P(U|53) = 0.40
Transcribed Image Text:SA P(F|s₁) = 0.10 P(F|$₂) = 0.40 P(F|53) = 0.60 P(U|s₁) = 0.90 P(U|$₂) = 0.60 P(U|53) = 0.40
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