Answered: a. Draw a decision tree

Excel Applications for Accounting Principles

4th Edition

ISBN:9781111581565

Author:Gaylord N. Smith

Publisher:Gaylord N. Smith

Chapter26: Capital Budgeting (capbud)

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 5R

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A businessman must decide whether to open a new mini grocery branch or simply extend the number of hours of its operation on its existing branch with a payoff of P 150,000. According to his friend, demand at the new location can either be low or high, which the probabilities are estimated to be 0.35 and 0.65, respectively. If a new branch is opened and demand proves to be low, there is no need to operate on a 24-hr basis but instead, they will stick to 12-hrs operation with a payoff of P 100,000 or enhance marketing strategy through advertising. Projected response to advertising may either be favorable or not favorable, with estimated probabilities of 0.40 and 0.60, respectively. If demand is favorable, the payoff grows to P 310,000 and if response is unfavorable, the payoff is P 120,000. The cost of advertising is P45,000. Required: a. Draw a decision tree b. Determine the expected value for each decision and event nodes. c. Which alternative is the best for the businessman?

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