An insurance company classifies the airplane it insures into class L (low risk) and class H (high risk), and estimates the corresponding proportions of the airplane as 70% and 30% respectively. The company has also found that 99% of class L and 88% of class H airplane have no accident within a year. If an airplane insured by the company has no accident within a year, what is the probability that it belongs to class H? class L?
Compound Probability
Compound probability can be defined as the probability of the two events which are independent. It can be defined as the multiplication of the probability of two events that are not dependent.
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Probability theory is a branch of mathematics that deals with the subject of probability. Although there are many different concepts of probability, probability theory expresses the definition mathematically through a series of axioms. Usually, these axioms express probability in terms of a probability space, which assigns a measure with values ranging from 0 to 1 to a set of outcomes known as the sample space. An event is a subset of these outcomes that is described.
Conditional Probability
By definition, the term probability is expressed as a part of mathematics where the chance of an event that may either occur or not is evaluated and expressed in numerical terms. The range of the value within which probability can be expressed is between 0 and 1. The higher the chance of an event occurring, the closer is its value to be 1. If the probability of an event is 1, it means that the event will happen under all considered circumstances. Similarly, if the probability is exactly 0, then no matter the situation, the event will never occur.
An insurance company classifies the airplane it insures into class L (low risk) and class H (high risk), and estimates the corresponding proportions of the airplane as 70% and 30% respectively. The company has also found that 99% of class L and 88% of class H airplane have no accident within a year. If an airplane insured by the company has no accident within a year, what is the probability that it belongs to
- class H?
- class L?
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