Based only on the critical path, what is the estimated probability the building project could run more than 3 months late? Use 56 weeks for this calculation. (Round your answer to four decimal places.) Need help with this one?   (e) What should the construction company tell the owner? (Enter your free-form answer using as many characters as necessary.) Also need help with this one?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
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Mueller & Associates is a urban planning firm that is designing a new public park in an Omaha suburb. Coordination of the architect and subcontractors will require a major effort to meet the 43-week completion date requested by the owner. The Mueller project manager prepared the following project network.
A project network with 10 activities and 14 directed arcs is shown.
  • Activity Start is connected to activity A.
  • Activity A is connected to activity B, to activity C, and to activity D.
  • Activity B is connected to activity F.
  • Activity C is connected to activity E and to activity F.
  • Activity D is connected to activity E.
  • Activity E is connected to activity G and to activity Finish.
  • Activity F is connected to activity G and to activity H.
  • Activity G is connected to activity H.
  • Activity H is connected to activity Finish.
  • Activity Finish has no arcs directed to other activities.
Estimates of the optimistic, most probable, and pessimistic times (in weeks) for the activities are as follows.
Activity Optimistic Most Probable Pessimistic
A 4 8 12
B 6 7 8
C 6 12 18
D 3 5 7
E 6 9 18
F 5 8 17
G 10 15 20
H 5 6 13
(a)
Find the critical path. (Enter your answers as a comma-separated list.) already have correct 
(b)
What is the expected project completion time (in weeks)? 52 correct
 weeks
(c)
Based only on the critical path, what is the estimated probability the project can be completed in 43 weeks as requested by the owner? (Round your answer to four decimal places.) 0.0087 correct 
 
(d)
Based only on the critical path, what is the estimated probability the building project could run more than 3 months late? Use 56 weeks for this calculation. (Round your answer to four decimal places.) Need help with this one?
 
(e)
What should the construction company tell the owner? (Enter your free-form answer using as many characters as necessary.) Also need help with this one?
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