Consider a large Australian cotton farmer who has just planted her crop. Once grown, she plans to export her production to China. (a) Explain how each of the following scenarios can affect her revenue: (i) A decrease in U.S. production (the U.S. is a large exporter of cotton to China) (ii) A depreciation in the USD/AUD exchange rate (iii) An economic recession in China (b) Do you think she'll buy back thesame futures contract prior to expiry? Why/why not? (c) Which of the scenarios in (a) will no longer affect her now that she's gone short?

International Financial Management
14th Edition
ISBN:9780357130698
Author:Madura
Publisher:Madura
Chapter14: Multinational Capital Budgeting
Section: Chapter Questions
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Consider a large Australian cotton farmer who has just planted her crop. Once grown, she plans to export her production to China.

(a) Explain how each of the following scenarios can affect her revenue:

  • (i) A decrease in U.S. production (the U.S. is a large exporter of cotton to China)
  • (ii) A depreciation in the USD/AUD exchange rate
  • (iii) An economic recession in China

(b) Do you think she'll buy back thesame futures contract prior to expiry? Why/why not?

(c) Which of the scenarios in (a) will no longer affect her now that she's gone short?

 

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