For four pairs of a rare specimen of bird that nested last season, the number of eggs per nest n and the number of eggs hatched Y were observed, providing the data n = 2, 3, 3, and 4 and y = 1, 2, 3 and 3. Let 7 be the probability that an egg is hatched. Use a Beta(a 1, B = 1) prior for T. Find the posterior distribution of A given y. Provide the numerical value of a4. Round your final answer to 4 decimal places.

Algebra & Trigonometry with Analytic Geometry
13th Edition
ISBN:9781133382119
Author:Swokowski
Publisher:Swokowski
Chapter10: Sequences, Series, And Probability
Section10.8: Probability
Problem 32E
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For four pairs of a rare specimen of bird that nested last season, the number of eggs per nest n and the
number of eggs hatched Y were observed, providing the datan = 2, 3, 3, and 4 and y = 1, 2, 3 and 3.
Let T be the probability that an egg is hatched. Use a Beta(a
1, B
1) prior for T. Find the posterior
distribution of T given y. Provide the numerical value of a.
Round your final answer to 4 decimal places.
Transcribed Image Text:For four pairs of a rare specimen of bird that nested last season, the number of eggs per nest n and the number of eggs hatched Y were observed, providing the datan = 2, 3, 3, and 4 and y = 1, 2, 3 and 3. Let T be the probability that an egg is hatched. Use a Beta(a 1, B 1) prior for T. Find the posterior distribution of T given y. Provide the numerical value of a. Round your final answer to 4 decimal places.
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