In a large metropolitan area, 20% of the commuters currently use the public transportation system, whereas the remaining 80% commute via automobile. The city has recently revitalized and expanded its public transportation system. It is expected that 6 months from now 30% of those who are now commuting to work via automobile will switch to public transportation, and 70% will continue to commute via automobile. At the same time, it is expected that 20% of those now using public transportation will commute via automobile and 80% will continue to use public transportation. (a) Construct the transition matrix for the Markov chain that describes the change in the mode of transportation used by these commuters.

Linear Algebra: A Modern Introduction
4th Edition
ISBN:9781285463247
Author:David Poole
Publisher:David Poole
Chapter2: Systems Of Linear Equations
Section2.4: Applications
Problem 28EQ
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In a large metropolitan area, 20% of the commuters currently use the public transportation system, whereas the remaining 80% commute via automobile. The city has recently revitalized and expanded its public transportation system. It is expected that 6 months from now 30% of those who are now commuting to work via automobile will switch to public transportation, and 70% will continue to commute via automobile. At the same time, it is expected that 20% of those now using public transportation will commute via automobile and 80% will continue to use public transportation.

(a) Construct the transition matrix for the Markov chain that describes the change in the mode of transportation used by these commuters.
       P              A
T  =   
P
 
A
           
           


(b) Find the initial distribution vector for this Markov chain.
X0
=
     
     

(c) What percentage of the commuters are expected to use public transportation 6 months from now? (Round your answer to the nearest percent.) 
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